Match Info

QSL - Round 22

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday

Location: Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium (Doha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA
Qatar	Shoof


	Al-Sadd		Al-Shamal

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.55	4.55
	1.57	5.31	4.64
	1.55	4.98	4.46	Watch
	1.5	4.6	4.33
	1.48	4.7	4.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.61)	4.83 ↓ (4.93)	4.54 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Sadd
60.5%

Draw
19.2%

Al-Shamal
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

18.9%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

18%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Sadd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Al-Shamal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Sadd than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shamal than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Al Sadd - Al Shamal Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Al-Sadd will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Al-Shamal will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Sadd (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Barsham M. (G) 5. Salman T. 2. Pedro Miguel 16. Khoukhi B. 6. Paulo Otavio 80. Soria A. 33. Claudinho 21. Giovani 9. Roberto Firmino 7. Afif A. (C) 19. Mujica R.	95. Seck B. (G) 70. Khoder M. 81. Bounacer A. 24. Murillo J. 2. Awad M. 6. Ebrahimi O. 73. Waad M. 8. Collado A. 12. Al Mannai M. 5. Sliti N. 11. Bounedjah B. (C)
Substitutes
31. Abdullla Y. (G) 10. Al Haydos H. 23. Ali H. 1. Al Sheeb S. (G) 13. Al Yazidi A. 8. Asad A. 66. Bakri Al Ameen A. 4. Camara M. 24. Dilrosun J. 3. El Hannach Y. 29. Saiss R.	14. Ali O. 18. Al Sulimane A. 19. Azadi F. 45. El Rady A. (G) 32. Majed I. 7. Mohamed O. 10. Ounas A. 16. Prim P. 9. Qadry A. 17. Seyam T. 72. Tawfik A. 4. Termanini M.
Coaches
Mancini R.	Prats D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Afif A. ⚽, Pedro Miguel (A),
22', 2 - 0, Roberto Firmino ⚽, Claudinho (A),
30', Waad M. 🟨,
45+5', Pedro Miguel 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', Bounacer A. 🟥,
56', Sliti N. ↓, Termanini M. ↑,
56', Waad M. ↓, Mohamed O. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Bounedjah B. ⚽, Collado A. (A),
68', 3 - 1, Paulo Otavio ⚽, Giovani (A),
72', Giovani ↓, Al Yazidi A. ↑,
73', Paulo Otavio ↓, Camara M. ↑,
77', Khoder M. ↓, Seyam T. ↑,
77', Ebrahimi O. ↓, Prim P. ↑,
85', 3 - 2, Murillo J. (Penalty Awarded),
85', Afif A. 🟨,
85', Murillo J. 🟨,
88', Murillo J. ↓, Ounas A. ↑,
89', Termanini M. 🟨,
90+1', Afif A. ↓, Ali H. ↑,
90+3', Soria A. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Sadd won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Al-Sadd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Al-Sadd has had a series of away games.

In this match, Al-Sadd is considered a favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Al-Sadd won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 33:10. (average 3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Sadd won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:4. (average 3:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Sadd	4	4	0	0	19:7	12	12
3	Shamal	4	2	2	0	10:6	4	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Sadd SC
AFC Champions League
16.04.26	Al-Sadd - Vissel Kobe	3:4 penalties ✺
13.04.26	Al-Hilal - Al-Sadd	3:4 penalties ✺
Qatar QSL
08.04.26	Al-Sailiya - Al-Sadd	1:3 ✺
04.04.26	Al-Rayyan - Al-Sadd	1:1 ✺
17.03.26	Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Sadd	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWTL
- Al-Shamal SC
Qatar QSL
13.04.26	Al-Shamal - Qatar SC	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Al-Shahania - Al-Shamal	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Al-Shamal - Umm-Salal	3:2 ✺
17.03.26	Al-Shamal - Al Duhail	1:3 ✺
12.03.26	Al-Wakrah - Al-Shamal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QSL
29.12.25	Al-Shamal - Al-Sadd	0:3
12.01.25	Al-Sadd - Al-Shamal	1:0
10.08.24	Al-Shamal - Al-Sadd	2:1
24.04.24	Al-Shamal - Al-Sadd	0:4
01.12.23	Al-Sadd - Al-Shamal	4:0
17.03.23	Al-Shamal - Al-Sadd	1:3
06.09.22	Al-Sadd - Al-Shamal	1:2

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