Match Info

QSL - Round 7

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Al Bayt Stadium (Al Khor) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ahmed M. N. (Qat)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Qatar	17:30	Al Kass Five, Al Kass Six, Shoof


	Al-Shamal		Qatar SC

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.90	3.60
	1.6	4.05	4.2
	1.65	4.44	4.67
	1.63	4.53	4.24	Watch
	1.6	4.35	4.6
	1.66	4.16	4.37	Watch
	1.62	4.2	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.72)	4.23 ↓ (4.33)	4.28 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Shamal
56.5%

Draw
21.9%

Qatar SC
21.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.1%

21.5%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

21%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Shamal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Qatar SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shamal than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qatar SC than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Al Shamal - Qatar SC Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Al-Shamal will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Qatar SC will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Qatar SC (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Seck B. (G) 6. Khoder M. 37. Suhail A. 4. Mari P. 3. Hassan A. 28. Benaissa N. 70. Tiago Silva 26. Mahrez R. 5. Ben Romdhane M. 8. Asad A. 11. Bounedjah B. (C)	17. Mahmoud A. (G) 2. Baksh N. 40. Diouf S. 4. Saoudi A. 20. Palangi E. 14. Brahmi S. 21. Abdulla Maarafiya 24. Mason N. 11. Boli Y. 6. Prim P. 9. Joao Pedro (C)
Substitutes
14. Ali O. 67. Al Khater S. (G) 78. Al Saeed A. 16. Bais F. 10. Collado A. 45. El Rady A. (G) 24. Murillo J. 22. Said W. 27. Sayyar A. 23. Termanini M. 47. Waad F.	12. Abdelhalim I. 15. Abdul Wahed K. 28. Addai A. 74. Al Abbasi S. (G) 33. Ali A. (G) 66. Ayman Mohamed A. 44. Hanfy A. 19. Ibrahim A. 96. Jaber A. 42. Lafrid Y. 18. Mushrinn M. 23. Soria S.
Coaches
Prats D.	Al-Kubaisi R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+4', 0 - 1, Joao Pedro ⚽, Saoudi A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
50', 0 - 2, Prim P. ⚽, Joao Pedro (A),
52', Hassan A. 🟨,
56', Ben Romdhane M. 🟨,
61', Ben Romdhane M. ↓, Collado A. ↑,
61', Asad A. ↓, Ali O. ↑,
61', Hassan A. ↓, Waad F. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Mahrez R. (Penalty Awarded),
72', Baksh N. ↓, Ibrahim A. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Tiago Silva ⚽, Waad F. (A),
75', Mari P. ↓, Murillo J. ↑,
79', Palangi E. ↓, Lafrid Y. ↑,
80', 2 - 3, Boli Y. ⚽,
85', Tiago Silva ↓, Said W. ↑,
86', Brahmi S. ↓, Jaber A. ↑,
90+3', Prim P. 🟨,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 5th and 11th in the QSL (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shamal won 1.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Qatar SC may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Al-Shamal is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Al-Shamal has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:21 (averaging 1.3:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Al-Shamal against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 9:10 goals (averaging 1.3:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Shamal	7	2	3	2	12:13	-1	9
11	Qatar SC	7	1	3	3	9:16	-7	6

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Shamal - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 54.06%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Qatar SC - the odds 3.8 are the expected chance of winning is 24.47%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Shamal SC
Qatar QSL
17.10.26	Lusail City - Al-Shamal	0:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
12.10.26	Tractor Sazi - Al-Shamal	0:0 ✺
Qatar QSL
08.10.26	Al-Shamal - Al Duhail	0:4 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
01.10.26	Al-Shamal - Muaither	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Al Bidda - Al-Shamal	0:4
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTLWW
- Qatar SC
Qatar QSL
17.10.26	Al-Sailiya - Qatar SC	2:2 ✺
Gulf Club Champions League
13.10.26	Qatar SC - Al-Zawraa	1:1 ✺
Qatar QSL
09.10.26	Qatar SC - Al-Rayyan	0:3 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
01.10.26	Qatar SC - Al Bidda	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Al-Rayyan - Qatar SC	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QSL
13.04.26	Al-Shamal - Qatar SC	0:2
Qatar Emir Cup
13.02.26	Al-Shamal - Qatar SC	2:1
Qatar QSL
27.09.25	Qatar SC - Al-Shamal	1:1
30.01.25	Qatar SC - Al-Shamal	2:1
22.08.24	Al-Shamal - Qatar SC	0:1
06.04.24	Al-Shamal - Qatar SC	1:2
24.11.23	Qatar SC - Al-Shamal	0:2

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