Match Info

Date: 21 February 2021, Sunday


	Lusail City		Al-Shamal

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.6	1.4
	5.5	4.5	1.42
	5.3	4.4	1.4
	5.85	4.15	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.54 ↑ (5.32)	4.41 ↑ (4.33)	1.43 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusail City
16.3%

Draw
20.4%

Al-Shamal
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17%

20.9%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3%

18.8%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusail City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Al-Shamal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusail City than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shamal than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Shamal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lusail City - Al Shamal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Lusail City is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al-Shamal is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Al-Shamal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Al-Shamal is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Lusail City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Lusail City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusail City FC
Qatar QSL 2
10.02.21	Lusail City - Al Muaidar	0:1 ✺
03.02.21	Al-Markhiya - Lusail City	0:1 ✺
18.01.21	Lusail City - Al Bidda	0:1 ✺
05.01.21	Lusail City - Al-Waab	0:2 ✺
01.01.21	Al-Shamal - Lusail City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 LWLLW
- Al-Shamal SC
Qatar QSL 2
15.02.21	Al-Shamal - Al Muaidar	1:1 ✺
10.02.21	Al-Shamal - Al-Shahania	2:1 ✺
02.02.21	Al-Shamal - Al-Mesaimeer	1:1 ✺
Qatar Emir Cup
25.01.21	Qatar SC - Al-Shamal	2:3 penalties ✺
Qatar QSL 2
18.01.21	Al-Waab - Al-Shamal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QSL 2
01.01.21	Al-Shamal - Lusail City	0:1
29.10.20	Lusail City - Al-Shamal	1:5
22.01.20	Lusail City - Al-Shamal	1:2
24.10.19	Al-Shamal - Lusail City	3:1

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