Match Info

Division 1 - Round 32

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Saudi-arabia	Aloula


	Al-Safa		Al-Arabi Al-Saudi

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.8	1.98
	2.9	3.85	2.01
	2.93	4.13	2.02
	2.94	4.02	2
	3.01	3.68	2.02	Watch
	2.9	3.85	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↓ (3.3)	3.89 ↑ (3.65)	2.01 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Safa
31.2%

Draw
23.4%

Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

24.9%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

24%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Safa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Al-Arabi Al-Saudi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Safa than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Arabi Al-Saudi than the current prediction. (+4%)

Al Safa - Al Arabi Al Saudi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Mansour M. ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, Mbengue A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
75', 1 - 2, ⚽,
86', 1 - 3, Al Zaqan A. ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 4, Mansour M. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Al-Safa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Al-Arabi has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Al-Safa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Al-Arabi will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Safa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Safa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Safa Saudi
Saudi Division 1
30.04.25	Al-Zulfi - Al-Safa	3:3 ✺
23.04.25	Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Safa	3:0 ✺
16.04.25	Al-Safa - Abha	2:2 ✺
10.04.25	Al-Safa - Al-Faisaly	1:2 ✺
02.04.25	Ohud Medina - Al-Safa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLTLL
- Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
Saudi Division 1
28.04.25	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Taee	0:4 ✺
22.04.25	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Neom	0:3 ✺
16.04.25	Al Hazem - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	2:1 ✺
10.04.25	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Bukayriyah	0:2 ✺
04.04.25	Al-Faisaly - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
05.01.25	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Safa	2:2
20.02.24	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Safa	0:1
14.09.23	Al-Safa - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	0:3

Al-Safa - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide