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Current Win Probability
Al-Safa 12.9%
Draw 21.4%
Neom 65.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.3%
19.6%
62.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.8%
19%
63.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Safa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Safa's form might have worsened.
Neom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Safa than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neom than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
0%
71.4%
Al Safa - Neom Predictions
Users Predictions:
Neom will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Al Saad M. ⚽,
38', Othman A. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 0 - 2, Carlos Junior ⚽,
83', 1 - 2, Moreno D. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 3, Romarinho ⚽,
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).
Al-Safa has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Neom in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Neom is the unquestionable favorite.