Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 30

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: King Khalid Sports City (Tabuk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Neom		Al Hazem

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.1	5
	1.52	4.35	5.15
	1.5	4.64	5.77
	1.55	4.51	5.07	Watch
	1.5	4	4.8
	1.61	4.45	5.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.63)	4.34 ↑ (4)	5.2 ↑ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neom
60.8%

Draw
21.4%

Al Hazem
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

23.1%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

23.9%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Al Hazem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neom than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Hazem than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Neom - Al Hazem Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Neom (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Neom will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Bulka M. (G) 15. Al Oyayari A. 4. Al Dawsari K. 44. Zeze N. 25. Abdi F. 14. Al Saad M. 18. Al Haji A. 72. Kone A. 80. Messi R. 10. Benrahma S. 91. Lacazette A. (C)	23. Zaied I. (G) 82. Al Harbi A. 13. Al Shanqiti A. 34. Al Dakheel A. (C) 27. Al Nakhli A. 32. Rosier L. 17. Mokwana E. 15. Al Khaibary A. 24. Bah A. 10. Martins F. 9. Al Somah O.
Substitutes
60. Al Anzi A. 2. Al Burayk M. 7. Al Faraj S. 93. Al Saluli A. 95. Fallatah A. 27. Hawsawi I. 26. Hegazy A. 1. Malayekah M. (G) 19. Rodriguez L.	26. Al Dhuwayhi A. 33. Al Ghamdi M. (G) 2. Al Rashid S. 70. Al Shamrani A. 5. Al Yami M. 21. Bamba Dieng A. 80. Carvalho M. 4. Tanker S.
Coaches
Galtier C.	Kadri J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Benrahma S. ⚽, Kone A. (A),
45+3', Lacazette A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Zeze N. 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Al Shanqiti A. ⚽, Rosier L. (A),
61', Al Saad M. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
66', Al Oyayari A. 🟨,
68', Al Khaibary A. ↓, Carvalho M. ↑,
74', Martins F. ↓, Al Shamrani A. ↑,
74', Mokwana E. ↓, Al Dhuwayhi A. ↑,
77', Al Oyayari A. ↓, Al Burayk M. ↑,
77', Lacazette A. ↓, Al Anzi A. ↑,
83', Al Shamrani A. 🟨,
83', 🟨,
90+3', Bah A. ↓, Tanker S. ↑,
90+3', Al Somah O. ↓, Bamba Dieng A. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 9).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Neom may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Neom is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Neom won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home match between the teams, Neom won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Neom SC	8	5	1	2	14:7	7	16
10	Al Hazem	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neom SC
Saudi Professional League
11.04.26	Al-Najma - Neom	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Neom	3:4 ✺
04.04.26	Neom - Al-Feiha	1:0 ✺
12.03.26	Neom - Al-Taawoun	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Neom	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWWTL
- Al Hazem
Saudi Professional League
24.04.26	Al Hazem - Al-Riyadh	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Al Hazem - Al-Feiha	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al Hazem	1:0 ✺
12.03.26	Al Hazem - Al-Kholood	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Al-Khaleej - Al Hazem	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
04.01.26	Al Hazem - Neom	1:2
Saudi King Cup
23.09.25	Al Hazem - Neom	2:1
Saudi Division 1
24.02.25	Al Hazem - Neom	0:2
05.10.24	Neom - Al Hazem	2:0

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