Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 28

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City Stadium (Buraidah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al-Najma		Neom

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.75	1.5
	5.3	4.15	1.55
	5.81	4.29	1.53
	5.69	4.37	1.52
	5	3.8	1.5
	6.02	4.09	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.51 ↑ (5.01)	4.08 ↓ (4.1)	1.54 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Najma
16.8%

Draw
22.8%

Neom
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

22.5%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

21.9%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Najma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Neom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Najma than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neom than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Al Najma - Neom Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Victor Braga (G) 24. Al Hawsawi A. 18. Al Harabi A. 33. Al Fatil M. 3. Samir Caetano (C) 2. Vitao 98. Boutobba B. 80. Dunga N. 16. Guga 70. Felippe Cardoso 90. Al Aqel M. S. M.	81. Maximiano L. (G) 15. Al Oyayari A. 26. Hegazy A. (C) 44. Zeze N. 27. Hawsawi I. 72. Kone A. 8. Doucoure A. 80. Messi R. 10. Benrahma S. 18. Al Haji A. 19. Rodriguez L.
Substitutes
77. Al Dubais H. 87. Al Enezi W. (G) 50. Al Hawsawi N. 6. Al Shammari K. 8. Al Shammeri A. 27. Al Subaie K. 11. Dawran M. M. Y. 7. Lazaro 75. Sharrahi M.	25. Abdi F. 71. Abdu A. 60. Al Anzi A. 2. Al Burayk M. 4. Al Dawsari K. 14. Al Saad M. 93. Al Saluli A. 47. Al Shanqeeti Y. 1. Malayekah M. (G)
Coaches
El Maestro N.	Galtier C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Kone A. 🟨,
13', Al Harabi A. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Al Aqel M. S. M. ⚽,
45+2', Al Aqel M. S. M. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Hawsawi I. ↓, Abdi F. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Boutobba B. ⚽, Felippe Cardoso (A),
56', 2 - 1, Kone A. ⚽, Benrahma S. (A),
58', Kone A. ↓, Al Saad M. ↑,
65', Boutobba B. ↓, Dawran M. M. Y. ↑,
73', Hegazy A. 🟨,
75', Al Oyayari A. ↓, Abdu A. ↑,
75', Messi R. ↓, Al Burayk M. ↑,
86', Guga ↓, Al Shammeri A. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 8).

Al-Najma has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Neom has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Neom may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Neom is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Neom will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Najma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Najma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Neom SC	8	5	1	2	14:7	7	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Najma Unaizah
Saudi Professional League
03.04.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Najma	5:2 ✺
12.03.26	Al-Najma - Damac	1:3 ✺
06.03.26	Al-Hilal - Al-Najma	4:0 ✺
28.02.26	Al-Najma - Al Akhdoud	1:3 ✺
25.02.26	Al-Najma - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Neom SC
Saudi Professional League
08.04.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Neom	3:4 ✺
04.04.26	Neom - Al-Feiha	1:0 ✺
12.03.26	Neom - Al-Taawoun	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Neom	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Neom - Al-Kholood	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
25.12.25	Neom - Al-Najma	2:1
Saudi Division 1
19.02.25	Neom - Al-Najma	2:0
01.10.24	Al-Najma - Neom	2:3

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