Match Info

QSL Cup - Round 10

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday

Location: Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium (Doha)


	Al-Sailiya		Al-Ahli Doha

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.22	2.38	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.1
	2.9	3.54	2.11
	2.9	3.6	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.26)	3.42 ↓ (3.67)	2.16 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Sailiya
31.6%

Draw
26.5%

Al-Ahli Doha
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

24.7%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

25.1%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Sailiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Sailiya's form might have worsened.

Al-Ahli Doha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Ahli Doha's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Sailiya than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Sailiya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Doha than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Ahli Doha, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Al Sailiya - Al Ahli Doha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, ⚽,
57', 1 - 1, ⚽,
75', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ QSL Cup (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Sailiya won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Al-Ahli Doha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Al-Sailiya has had a series of home games.

Al-Sailiya is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Sailiya won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:30. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Sailiya won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 1.6:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Al Sailiya	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
13	Al Ahli Doha	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Sailiya
Qatar QSL
17.01.26	Al-Sailiya - Qatar SC	2:1 ✺
Qatar Emir Cup
10.01.26	Al-Sailiya - Muaither	2:1 penalties ✺
Qatar QSL
06.01.26	Al-Sailiya - Al-Rayyan	1:3 ✺
28.12.25	Al-Sailiya - Al-Wakrah	0:0 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
12.12.25	Al-Mesaimeer - Al-Sailiya	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLTL
- Al-Ahli Doha
Qatar QSL
16.01.26	Al-Sadd - Al-Ahli Doha	2:0 ✺
07.01.26	Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Shamal	4:2 ✺
29.12.25	Al-Ahli Doha - Umm-Salal	0:3 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
24.12.25	Al-Ahli Doha - Andijan	2:0 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
14.12.25	Al-Shamal - Al-Ahli Doha	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QSL
01.11.25	Al-Sailiya - Al-Ahli Doha	1:2
29.04.23	Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Sailiya	0:4
12.01.23	Al-Sailiya - Al-Ahli Doha	1:2
Qatar QSL Cup
25.09.22	Al-Sailiya - Al-Ahli Doha	2:3
Qatar QSL
01.03.22	Al-Sailiya - Al-Ahli Doha	2:2
24.12.21	Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Sailiya	1:0
20.01.21	Al-Sailiya - Al-Ahli Doha	0:0

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