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Current Win Probability
Al-Ahli Doha 34.6%
Draw 26.7%
Umm-Salal 38.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38%
26%
35.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.6%
25.6%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ahli Doha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Umm-Salal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Doha than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umm-Salal than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Al Ahli Doha - Umm Salal Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Al-Ahli Doha (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ahli Doha (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Naim Y. (G) 18. Jassem Mohammed 16. Tihi R. 88. Amraoui A. 24. Doumbouya A. 4. Ali T. 6. Diallo I. 41. Reyed A. 33. Mohammed K. 29. Gannan S. 10. Exposito E.
13. Ashour L. (G) 19. Laidouni N. 22. Udosen E. 37. Diallo A. 2. Fayez A. 32. El Sayed A. 6. Aholou J. 3. Hazaa A. 14. Tannane O. 33. Cristo 9. Mance A.
Substitutes
70. Abdelrahman Y. 17. Alawi O. 21. Al Ishaq M. 35. Badredlin M. (G) 8. Fettouhi D. 20. Mansour H. 12. Mohammed H. 23. Radwan K. 5. Troost-Ekong W. 14. Vlap M. 9. Yansane S. 3. Yassine I.
12. Al Bahnasawi W. 8. Al Hajri S. 11. Al Shammari M. 27. Haroon D. 4. Issa S. 40. Khaled M. 17. Kouassi J. E. 44. Mahdi Al Mejaba 30. Mohammad J. (G) 21. Saad K. 5. Said F. 15. Tahif A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
37', 1 - 0, Exposito E. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Cristo ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Gannan S. ↓, Yansane S. ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Yansane S. ⚽,
52', 2 - 2, Cristo ⚽, Tannane O. (A),
55', 2 - 3, El Sayed A. ⚽,
60', Diallo I. ↓, Fettouhi D. ↑,
60', Ali T. ↓, Saeed H. ↑,
60', Doumbouya A. ↓, Vlap M. ↑,
68', 2 - 4, Cristo (Penalty Awarded),
76', El Sayed A. ↓, Said F. ↑,
76', Tannane O. ↓, Kouassi J. E. ↑,
76', Cristo ↓, Mahdi Al Mejaba ↑,
85', Mance A. ↓, Al Shammari M. ↑,
90', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli Doha won 1.
Al-Ahli Doha is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Umm-Salal's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Al-Ahli Doha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Al-Ahli Doha has had a series of away games.
Recently, Umm-Salal has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli Doha won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ahli Doha won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).