Match Info

QSL Cup - Round 2

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium (Doha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Qatar	Shoof


	Al-Sailiya		Al-Markhiya

	1	X	2
	3.28	3.45	2.09
	4.48	4.01	1.64	Watch
	2.77	3.4	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (1.85)	3.62 ↑ (3.56)	1.99 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Sailiya
26.8%

Draw
26%

Al-Markhiya
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

25.5%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

27.5%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Sailiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Sailiya's form might have worsened.

Al-Markhiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Markhiya's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Sailiya than the current prediction. (+26.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Sailiya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Markhiya than the current prediction. (-23.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Markhiya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Al Sailiya - Al Markhiya Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Markhiya (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Al-Sailiya (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Sailiya (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Al-Markhiya (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, ⚽,
31', 🟨,
41', 🟨,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', 🟨,
65', 🟨,
68', 🟨,
70', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
90', 🟥,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Sailiya won 4.

Al-Sailiya has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Markhiya is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Al-Markhiya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Al-Sailiya has had a series of away games.

Recently, Al-Markhiya has had a series of home games.

Al-Sailiya might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Al-Sailiya won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 2.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Sailiya won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Sailiya
Qatar QSL
21.09.25	Umm-Salal - Al-Sailiya	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Al-Gharafa - Al-Sailiya	2:0 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
03.09.25	Al-Shahania - Al-Sailiya	1:2 ✺
Qatar QSL
30.08.25	Al-Sailiya - Al-Shamal	1:2 ✺
21.08.25	Qatar SC - Al-Sailiya	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLL
- Al-Markhiya SC
Qatar QSL 2
17.09.25	Al-Markhiya - Al-Kharitiyath	2:1 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
01.09.25	Al-Markhiya - Muaither	0:0 ✺
Qatar QSL 2
26.08.25	Al Bidda - Al-Markhiya	0:3 ✺
19.08.25	Al-Markhiya - Al-Mesaimeer	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.25	Al-Markhiya - Al-Najma	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QSL 2
13.02.25	Al-Markhiya - Al-Sailiya	0:2
02.10.24	Al-Sailiya - Al-Markhiya	2:1
Qatar QSL
03.05.23	Al-Markhiya - Al-Sailiya	1:3
12.03.23	Al-Sailiya - Al-Markhiya	1:3
Qatar QFA Cup
05.05.21	Al-Markhiya - Al-Sailiya	0:1
Qatar QSL
26.01.18	Al-Sailiya - Al-Markhiya	4:1
28.09.17	Al-Markhiya - Al-Sailiya	2:5

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