Match Info

QSL Cup - Round 5

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Location: Thani bin Jassim Stadium (Doha)


	Al-Gharafa		Al-Sailiya

	1	X	2
	6.36	4.84	1.38
	25.00	12.75	1.03	Watch
	5.47	5.2	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.28 ↑ (1.56)	7.6 ↑ (4.9)	1.28 ↓ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Gharafa
8.2%

Draw
13.3%

Al-Sailiya
78.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

19.4%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

19%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-53%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Gharafa's form might have worsened.

Al-Sailiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+59.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Sailiya's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (+54.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Gharafa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Sailiya than the current prediction. (-59.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Sailiya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Al Gharafa - Al Sailiya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
11', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Gharafa won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Al-Sailiya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al-Gharafa is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Gharafa won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 36:32. (average 1.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Gharafa won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 2.1:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Gharafa - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 61.23%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Gharafa SC
Qatar QSL Cup
02.10.25	Al-Gharafa - Al-Khor	0:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
29.09.25	Al-Gharafa - Al-Shorta Baghdad	2:0 ✺
Qatar QSL
25.09.25	Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa	2:3 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
22.09.25	Muaither - Al-Gharafa	5:2 ✺
Qatar QSL
20.09.25	Al-Shamal - Al-Gharafa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWLT
- Al-Sailiya
Qatar QSL Cup
04.10.25	Umm-Salal - Al-Sailiya	3:1 ✺
Qatar QSL
27.09.25	Al-Sailiya - Al-Arabi Doha	4:0 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
24.09.25	Al-Sailiya - Al-Markhiya	1:0 ✺
Qatar QSL
21.09.25	Umm-Salal - Al-Sailiya	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Al-Gharafa - Al-Sailiya	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QSL
12.09.25	Al-Gharafa - Al-Sailiya	2:0
Qatar QFA Cup
03.03.24	Al-Sailiya - Al-Gharafa	3:1
Qatar QSL
29.01.23	Al-Sailiya - Al-Gharafa	1:2
02.08.22	Al-Gharafa - Al-Sailiya	2:1
10.03.22	Al-Sailiya - Al-Gharafa	3:2
29.12.21	Al-Gharafa - Al-Sailiya	3:0
Qatar QSL Cup
08.12.21	Al-Sailiya - Al-Gharafa	1:1

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