Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Professional League - Round 28

Date: 18 April 2024, Thursday

Location: Al-Shabab Club Stadium (Riyadh)


	Al-Shabab Riyadh		Abha

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	6
	1.44	4.75	6
	1.46	4.97	6.4
	1.43	4.97	6.33
	1.36	4.4	5.8
	1.51	4.93	6.04	Watch
	1.43	4.7	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.37)	4.78 ↓ (4.95)	6.08 ↓ (7.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Shabab Riyadh
65%

Draw
19.6%

Abha
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

18.8%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

18.4%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Shabab Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Abha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abha than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Al Shabab Riyadh - Abha Predictions

Users Predictions: Al-Shabab Riyadh will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Malayekah M. (G) 88. Al Sharari N. 4. Iago Santos 14. Saiss R. (C) 2. Al Yami H. 26. Sharahili R. 55. Al Juwayr M. 24. Al Harbi M. 21. Al Saadi N. 23. Carrasco Y. 20. Diallo H.	16. Tatarusanu C. (G) 14. Jumayah F. 18. Noguera F. 30. Al Sahafi Z. 13. Al Kunaydiri M. 5. Krychowiak G. 8. Matic U. 80. Al Shammeri A. 10. Bguir S. 77. Al Mutairi M. 11. Kamano F.
Substitutes
3. Al Asiri K. 28. Al Bishi N. 15. Al Qahtani H. 16. Al Sibyani H. K. A. 11. Bahbri H. 45. Camara M. (G) 13. Carlos Junior 38. Harbush M. 12. Kanabah M.	71. Abdu A. 9. Al Ali H. 23. Al Omran N. 24. Al Oufi M. 29. Al Qahtani M. 17. Al Qumayzi S. 88. Al Salouli S. 1. Al Shammari A. (G) 3. Naji M.
Coaches
Pereira V.	Mosimane P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Jumayah F. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Carrasco Y. ⚽, Al Juwayr M. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
56', 2 - 0, Diallo H. ⚽,
65', Al Saadi N. ↓, Carlos Junior ↑,
68', Kamano F. ↓, Al Ali H. ↑,
68', Al Shammeri A. ↓, Al Salouli S. ↑,
73', Sharahili R. ↓, Al Qahtani H. ↑,
78', 3 - 0, Carlos Junior ⚽, Carrasco Y. (A),
82', Diallo H. ↓, Kanabah M. ↑,
82', Al Harbi M. ↓, Al Sibyani H. K. A. ↑,
82', Al Juwayr M. ↓, Bahbri H. ↑,
83', 4 - 0, Carlos Junior ⚽, Al Yami H. (A),
86', Al Kunaydiri M. ↓, Al Oufi M. ↑,
86', Krychowiak G. ↓, Abdu A. ↑,
90+3', 5 - 0, Carrasco Y. ⚽, Carlos Junior (A),

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Shabab won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Al-Shabab is certain favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Al-Shabab won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Shabab won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Shabab Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
06.04.24	Al-Taee - Al-Shabab Riyadh	0:0 ✺
03.04.24	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Riyadh	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Hilal	3:4 ✺
14.03.24	Al Hazem - Al-Shabab Riyadh	0:3 ✺
07.03.24	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Feiha	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TWLWL
- Abha FC
Saudi Professional League
07.04.24	Abha - Al Fateh	2:1 ✺
02.04.24	Abha - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:8 ✺
30.03.24	Al-Riyadh - Abha	1:1 ✺
14.03.24	Abha - Al-Wahda Mecca	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Abha	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
28.10.23	Abha - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:1
14.02.23	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Abha	2:0
01.09.22	Abha - Al-Shabab Riyadh	0:4
08.01.22	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Abha	1:1
12.08.21	Abha - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:1
30.01.21	Abha - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:3
17.10.20	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Abha	1:0

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