Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: SAUDI PROFESSIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 25

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium (Riyadh)


	Al-Riyadh		Abha

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.2	2.88
	2.45	3.25	2.75
	2.45	3.4	2.75
	2.52	3.35	2.84
	2.52	3.35	2.83
	2.15	3.4	2.7
	2.42	3.34	2.69
	2.42	3.3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.19)	3.32 ↓ (3.46)	2.77 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Riyadh
38.5%

Draw
28%

Abha
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

27%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

27.1%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Abha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abha than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Al Riyadh - Abha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Campana M. (G) 27. Ali Alnowaiqi H. 29. Asiri A. 4. Al Shwirekh M. 5. Al Shuwayyi K. 80. Al Rashidi F. 8. Al Khaibari A. (C) 60. Toure B. 15. Al Harajin A. 9. Gray A. 14. Al Abbas S.	16. Tatarusanu C. (G) 14. Jumayah F. 18. Noguera F. 26. Tisserand M. 15. Al Zubaidi I. 80. Al Shammeri A. 30. Al Sahafi Z. 29. Al Qahtani M. 11. Kamano F. 5. Krychowiak G. 71. Abdu A.
Substitutes
7. Al Aqel M. 22. Al Bawardi Z. (G) 77. Al Houti M. 28. Al Mutairi B. 88. Al Shehri Y. 26. Al Zaqan A. 36. Arslanagic D. 99. Bin Hibah M. 1. Najjar R. (G)	25. Al Alawi A. 9. Al Ali H. 13. Al Kunaydiri M. 77. Al Mutairi M. 17. Al Qumayzi S. 1. Al Shammari A. (G) 10. Bguir S. 8. Matic U. 3. Naji M.
Coaches
Hellmann O.	Mosimane P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Al Zubaidi I. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Kamano F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Al Shwirekh M. ↓, Al Zaqan A. ↑,
46', Abdu A. ↓, Al Ali H. ↑,
66', Al Harajin A. ↓, Al Shehri Y. ↑,
67', Al Shammeri A. 🟨,
70', 1 - 1, Al Abbas S. ⚽, Gray A. (A),
73', Krychowiak G. ↓, Al Kunaydiri M. ↑,
73', Al Shammeri A. ↓, Matic U. ↑,
81', Kamano F. ↓, Bguir S. ↑,
81', Al Qahtani M. ↓, Al Mutairi M. ↑,
85', Al Rashidi F. ↓, Al Oqil M. ↑,
89', Al Ali H. 🟨,
90', Al Abbas S. ↓, Al Houti M. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Al-Riyadh won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Riyadh won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Riyadh SC
Saudi Professional League
15.03.24	Al-Feiha - Al-Riyadh	1:1 ✺
08.03.24	Al-Riyadh - Al-Hilal	1:3 ✺
01.03.24	Al Akhdoud - Al-Riyadh	1:2 ✺
23.02.24	Al-Riyadh - Al Raed	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Riyadh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TLWTL
- Abha FC
Saudi Professional League
14.03.24	Abha - Al-Wahda Mecca	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Abha	3:0 ✺
01.03.24	Abha - Al-Taee	2:0 ✺
25.02.24	Al-Feiha - Abha	3:2 ✺
15.02.24	Abha - Al-Taawoun	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
30.09.23	Abha - Al-Riyadh	0:1
Saudi Division 1
24.10.14	Al-Riyadh - Abha	1:3

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