Match Info

Date: 18 October 2021, Monday


	Al-Shoalah		Al-Diriyah

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.7
	1.95	3.3	3.35
	1.96	3.3	3.15
	2.05	3.45	3.32
	2	3.2	3.4
	2.07	3.13	3.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.95)	3.23 ↑ (3.18)	3.41 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Shoalah
45.4%

Draw
28%

Al-Diriyah
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

28.9%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

18.7%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Shoalah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Al-Diriyah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shoalah than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Shoalah that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Diriyah than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Diriyah could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al Shoalah - Al Diriyah Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 7).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Al-Shoalah will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Al-Shoalah won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Shoalah Al Kharj
Saudi Division 1
13.10.21	Al-Kawkab - Al-Shoalah	1:0 ✺
06.10.21	Al-Shoalah - Ohud Medina	1:1 ✺
29.09.21	Najran - Al-Shoalah	0:1 ✺
20.09.21	Al-Shoalah - Al-Kholood	3:1 ✺
14.09.21	Al-Ain - Al-Shoalah	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTWWT
- Al-Diriyah
Saudi Division 1
13.10.21	Al-Diriyah - Al-Khaleej	0:2 ✺
04.10.21	Al Akhdoud - Al-Diriyah	2:3 ✺
28.09.21	Al-Diriyah - Al-Qadisiya	0:2 ✺
22.09.21	Al-Adalh - Al-Diriyah	3:0 ✺
15.09.21	Al-Diriyah - Al-Orobah	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
07.04.21	Al-Diriyah - Al-Shoalah	0:1
30.01.16	Al-Diriyah - Al-Shoalah	0:1

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