Match Info

Date: 26 October 2022, Wednesday


	Al-Shoalah		Al-Qadisiya

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.08	2.95	3.4
	2.03	3.2	3.1
	2.3	2.98	3.04
	2.15	2.9	3.1
	2.07	3.22	3.28	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.5)	3.06 ↑ (2.8)	3.19 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Shoalah
42.4%

Draw
29.4%

Al-Qadisiya
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Shoalah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Shoalah's performance.

Al-Qadisiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shoalah than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Shoalah that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.8%	9.1%	12.1%

Al Shoalah - Al Qadisiya Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Al-Shoalah will win (votes: 26 - 78.8%). Al-Qadisiya will win (votes: 4 - 12.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Shoalah: 64.9% – 92.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Al-Shoalah is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Al-Qadisiya is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al-Shoalah could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Al-Shoalah won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Shoalah won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Shoalah Al Kharj
Saudi Division 1
19.10.22	Najran - Al-Shoalah	1:1 ✺
12.10.22	Al-Shoalah - Al-Kholood	0:1 ✺
04.10.22	Al Akhdoud - Al-Shoalah	1:0 ✺
18.09.22	Al-Shoalah - Al-Qaisumah	0:1 ✺
13.09.22	Al-Sahel Qatif - Al-Shoalah	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLLT
- Al-Qadisiya
Saudi Division 1
19.10.22	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Jabalain	1:0 ✺
10.10.22	Al Hazem - Al-Qadisiya	1:0 ✺
04.10.22	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Riyadh	1:1 ✺
18.09.22	Al-Qadisiya - Hajer	1:1 ✺
13.09.22	Jeddah - Al-Qadisiya	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
04.05.22	Al-Shoalah - Al-Qadisiya	1:1
15.12.21	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Shoalah	2:1

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