Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 16

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Al-Hazem Club Stadium (Ar Rass) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	JACO Middle East
Brazil	12:15	BandSports
Saudi Arabia	18:15	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah


	Al Hazem		Al-Qadisiya

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.2	1.36
	6.7	4.55	1.4
	7.46	4.93	1.38	Watch
	6.5	4.4	1.36
	7.66	5.19	1.41	Watch
	7	5	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.97 ↑ (5.07)	4.71 ↑ (4.31)	1.38 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Al Hazem
13.3%

Draw
19.6%

Al-Qadisiya
67.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.4%

21.7%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

21.4%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Hazem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Hazem's form might have worsened.

Al-Qadisiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Qadisiya's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Hazem than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Qadisiya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Al Hazem - Al Qadisiya Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Qadisiya (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Al-Qadisiya will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Varela B. (G) 2. Al Rashid S. 4. Tanker S. 34. Al Dakheel A. (C) 27. Al Nakhli A. 80. Carvalho M. 32. Rosier L. 6. Al Sayyali B. 17. Mokwana E. 7. Al Shammari Y. 19. Al Habashi N.	1. Casteels K. (G) 12. Al Shahrani Y. 6. Fernandez N. (C) 17. Alvarez G. 2. Abu Al Shamat M. 11. Hazazi A. A. 5. Weigl J. 10. Al Juwayr M. 22. Bonsu Baah C. 33. Quinones J. 32. Retegui M.
Substitutes
8. Al Harajin A. 82. Al Harbi A. 70. Al Shamrani A. 13. Al Shanqiti A. 5. Al Yami M. 24. Bah A. 10. Martins F. 11. Sayoud A. 23. Zaied I. (G)	7. Al Ammar T. 28. Al Kassar A. (G) 9. Al Salem A. 20. Gabriel Carvalho 27. Houssa E. 87. Lajami Q. 40. Mahnashi I. 14. Rajab S. 4. Thakri J.
Coaches
Kadri J.	Rodgers B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Al Dakheel A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 5)
53', Al Habashi N. 🟨,
56', 0 - 1, Retegui M. ⚽, Bonsu Baah C. (A),
57', Hazazi A. A. ↓, Gabriel Carvalho ↑,
57', Al Shahrani Y. ↓, Thakri J. ↑,
61', 0 - 2, Al Juwayr M. ⚽, Bonsu Baah C. (A),
62', Carvalho M. ↓, Sayoud A. ↑,
62', Al Habashi N. ↓, Martins F. ↑,
68', Mokwana E. ↓, Al Shamrani A. ↑,
68', Al Sayyali B. ↓, Bah A. ↑,
73', 0 - 3, Quinones J. ⚽, Abu Al Shamat M. (A),
77', Bonsu Baah C. ↓, Al Ammar T. ↑,
77', Retegui M. ↓, Rajab S. ↑,
79', Al Shammari Y. ↓, Al Yami M. ↑,
81', 0 - 4, Al Nakhli A. (Own goal),
86', 1 - 4, Bah A. ⚽,
87', Fernandez N. ↓, Lajami Q. ↑,
88', Thakri J. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 5, Abu Al Shamat M. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 5).

Al Hazem has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Al-Qadisiya is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Al-Qadisiya is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al Hazem won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Al Hazem won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Al Qadsiah	11	8	1	2	26:12	14	25
13	Al Hazem	11	2	4	5	12:16	-4	10

Outrights of Saudi Professional League for now

Al Qadsiah: 13.41%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Hazem
Saudi Professional League
12.01.26	Al Hazem - Al-Najma	3:2 ✺
08.01.26	Al-Hilal - Al Hazem	3:0 ✺
04.01.26	Al Hazem - Neom	1:2 ✺
29.12.25	Al-Riyadh - Al Hazem	1:2 ✺
25.12.25	Al-Feiha - Al Hazem	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLWT
- Al-Qadisiya
Saudi Professional League
14.01.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Feiha	5:0 ✺
08.01.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Riyadh	4:0 ✺
31.12.25	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya	2:3 ✺
27.12.25	Al-Qadisiya - Damac	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi King Cup
28.10.25	Al-Qadisiya - Al Hazem	3:1
Saudi Division 1
06.03.23	Al-Qadisiya - Al Hazem	1:1
10.10.22	Al Hazem - Al-Qadisiya	1:0

Upcoming Matches