Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 10

Date: 20 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Al Taawon Arena (Buraidah) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, DStv Now, New World Sport 1, SupeSport ESPN 1
Asia	—	SPOTV Asia
Austria	17:10	DAZN
Cambodia	22:10	MyTV
France	17:10	DAZN France
Germany	17:10	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	23:10	HOY TV
India	20:40	Vision+
Indonesia	22:10	SPOTV, Vidio
Italy	17:10	Como TV, Sportitalia
Kenya	18:10	Gotv
Malaysia	23:10	Astro Go, SPOTV
Mexico	09:10	FOX One
Mongolia	23:10	SPOTV
Nigeria	16:10	SupeSport ESPN 1
Philippines	23:10	SPOTV
Saudi Arabia	18:10	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah
South Africa	17:10	SupeSport ESPN
South Korea	00:10	SPOTV
Switzerland	17:10	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	22:10	SPOTV
Turkey	18:10	HT Spor
Usa	11:10	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, Fox Soccer Plus
Vietnam	22:10	SPOTV
International	15:10	OneFootball TV, SPL Watch


	Al-Taawoun		Al-Qadisiya

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.75	1.4
	6.25	4.80	1.42
	6.4	4.8	1.37
	7.07	5.25	1.4
	6.4	5	1.41
	6.6	5.15	1.38
	7.07	5.6	1.38
	6.75	4.9	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.54 ↑ (5.6)	5.03 ↑ (4.3)	1.4 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Taawoun
14.3%

Draw
18.6%

Al-Qadisiya
67.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.2%

21.1%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

20.8%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Taawoun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Al-Qadisiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Taawoun than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Al Taawoun - Al Qadisiya Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Al-Qadisiya will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mailson (G) 70. Hendi A. 40. Mahnashi I. 5. Belaid Z. 32. Al Mufarrij M. 88. Petkov M. 7. Al Kuwaykibi M. 16. Al Ghamdi F. 18. El Mahdioui A. (C) 47. El Bahraoui Y. 9. Hamdallah A.	1. Casteels K. (C) 4. Thakri J. 17. Alvarez G. 8. Nandez N. 2. Abu Al Shamat M. 14. Reijnders T. 5. Weigl J. 15. Al Qahtani M. 22. Bonsu Baah C. 33. Quinones J. 9. Al Salem A.
Substitutes
17. Al Aqel M. S. M. 4. Al Haleel N. 6. Al Hurayji B. 30. Al Jadani A. (G) 45. Al Saedi M. 93. Al Saluli A. 23. Al Tulayhi R. 10. Bajrami N. 8. Guiagon P.	7. Al Ammar T. 18. Al Jaber A. 10. Al Juwayr M. 28. Al Kassar A. (G) 42. Al Qarawi A. 12. Al Shahrani Y. 35. Al Siyahi A. 27. Houssa E. 32. Retegui M.
Coaches
Rasovic V.	Rodgers B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Al Mufarrij M. ↓, Al Haleel N. ↑,
14', Hendi A. ↓, Al Hurayji B. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', El Bahraoui Y. ↓, Al Tulayhi R. ↑,
58', Al Salem A. ↓, Retegui M. ↑,
58', Al Qahtani M. ↓, Al Juwayr M. ↑,
79', Al Haleel N. ↓, Al Saluli A. ↑,
79', Al Kuwaykibi M. ↓, Bajrami N. ↑,
88', Abu Al Shamat M. ↓, Al Ammar T. ↑,
90+6', 0 - 1, Reijnders T. ⚽, Bonsu Baah C. (A),

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 17th in the Relegation - Division 1 and 2nd in the Promotion - AFC Champions League League phase).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Taawoun won 2.

In recent outings, Al-Taawoun has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Al-Qadisiya shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Al-Qadisiya could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Al-Qadisiya for this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Al-Taawoun has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:8 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Al-Taawoun against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 6:7 goals (averaging 1:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Al Qadsiah	11	8	1	2	26:12	14	25
17	Al Taawon	11	0	4	7	5:19	-14	4

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Qadisiya - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 62.65%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Taawoun FC
Saudi Professional League
17.10.26	Al-Diriyah - Al-Taawoun	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
14.10.26	Al-Taawoun - Al-Rayyan	2:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
11.10.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Taawoun	3:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
16.09.26	Al-Nahda - Al-Taawoun	1:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
12.09.26	Al-Taawoun - Al-Hilal	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLTL
- Al-Qadisiya
Saudi Professional League
16.10.26	Al-Qadisiya - Abha	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
12.10.26	Pakhtakor - Al-Qadisiya	1:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
09.10.26	Al-Kholood - Al-Qadisiya	0:5 ✺
AFC Champions League
14.09.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al Wasl	2:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
11.09.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
28.02.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Taawoun	1:1
01.11.25	Al-Taawoun - Al-Qadisiya	2:0
11.05.25	Al-Taawoun - Al-Qadisiya	0:1
11.01.25	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Taawoun	0:3
Saudi King Cup
07.01.25	Al-Taawoun - Al-Qadisiya	0:3
24.09.23	Al-Taawoun - Al-Qadisiya	2:0
15.03.21	Al-Taawoun - Al-Qadisiya	2:1

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