Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Professional League - Round 25

Date: 13 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Al Fateh club stadium (Al-Hofuf)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	GOBX Arabic
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1
South-korea	SPOTV Now


	Al Fateh		Al Raed

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	5.75
	1.7	3.9	4.4
	1.51	4.3	5.8
	1.51	4.3	6.43
	1.52	4.03	6.23	Watch
	1.44	3.9	6
	1.58	4.5	5.75	Watch
	1.51	4.3	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 (1.53)	4.2 ↑ (4.09)	5.77 ↑ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Fateh
61.3%

Draw
22.4%

Al Raed
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

22.8%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

22%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Fateh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Al Raed has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Fateh than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Raed than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	7.7%	23.1%

Al Fateh - Al Raed Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Al Fateh will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Al Raed will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Fateh: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Al Aqidi N. (G) 42. Al Julaydan A. 44. Fernandes J. 17. Saadane M. 82. Al Zarie H. 33. Youssouf Z. 88. Al Othman O. 11. Batna M. 28. Bendebka S. 7. Sbai A. 9. Vargas M.	1. Moreira A. (G) 32. Al Dossary M. 21. Gonzalez O. 16. Qasmi A. 28. Al Jayzani H. 5. Tweh S. 8. Normann M. 17. Abeid M. 26. Bouzok Y. 99. Al Khaibri T. 15. Al Amri S.
Substitutes
24. Al Dohaim A. 55. Al Enezi W. S. (G) 14. Al Fuhaid M. 4. Al Jari Z. 29. Al Masoud A. 49. Al Sharfa S. 18. Al Zaid S. 6. Masoud N. 13. Qasim H.	9. Al Ghamdi R. 94. Al Rajeh M. 24. Al Subaie K. 13. Al Yousif A. 4. Hazazi A. 18. Hazazi N. 45. Sunbul Y. 50. Sunyur M. (G) 70. Turay M.
Coaches
Gomes J.	Hellmann O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Vargas M. ⚽, Youssouf Z. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', Fernandes J. 🟨,
60', 2 - 0, Vargas M. ⚽, Al Zarie H. (A),
62', Qasmi A. 🟨,
65', 3 - 0, Batna M. (Pen),
66', Tweh S. ↓, Al Ghamdi R. ↑,
67', Al Othman O. ↓, Al Zaid S. ↑,
67', Sbai A. ↓, Al Masoud A. ↑,
81', Al Jayzani H. ↓, Al Yousif A. ↑,
81', Al Khaibri T. ↓, Sunbul Y. ↑,
82', 3 - 1, Gonzalez O. ⚽,
87', Al Julaydan A. ↓, Masoud N. ↑,
87', Bendebka S. ↓, Al Fuhaid M. ↑,
89', Vargas M. ↓, Al Sharfa S. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al Fateh won 4.

Recent matches Al Fateh is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Al Raed is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Al Fateh is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Al Fateh won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 31:26 (average 1.6:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Al Fateh won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:13 (average 1.4:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Fateh SC
Saudi Professional League
06.03.25	Al-Kholood - Al Fateh	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Al Fateh - Al-Taawoun	1:2 ✺
24.02.25	Al Akhdoud - Al Fateh	1:3 ✺
20.02.25	Al Fateh - Al-Orobah	1:0 ✺
14.02.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Fateh	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LLWWW
- Al Raed
Saudi Professional League
06.03.25	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al Raed	3:1 ✺
02.03.25	Al Raed - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:1 ✺
25.02.25	Al Raed - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:2 ✺
20.02.25	Al-Riyadh - Al Raed	1:3 ✺
15.02.25	Al Raed - Al-Feiha	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
26.10.24	Al Raed - Al Fateh	2:1
18.04.24	Al Fateh - Al Raed	3:1
27.10.23	Al Raed - Al Fateh	1:2
10.04.23	Al Raed - Al Fateh	0:3
15.10.22	Al Fateh - Al Raed	1:0
08.01.22	Al Fateh - Al Raed	2:3
12.08.21	Al Raed - Al Fateh	1:0

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