Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 9

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Al Taawon Arena (Buraidah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al-Taawoun		Neom

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.88
	2.25	3.5	2.88
	2.44	3.65	2.8
	2.42	3.37	2.76	Watch
	2.24	3.3	2.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.38)	3.46 ↑ (3.38)	2.84 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Taawoun
40.4%

Draw
26.8%

Neom
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

27.5%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

27.6%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Taawoun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Neom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Taawoun than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neom than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Al Taawoun - Neom Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Al-Taawoun will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Taawoun (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Al-Taawoun (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Taawoun (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mailson (G) 5. Mahzari M. 3. Andrei Girotto 23. Al Ahmad W. 32. Al Mufarrij M. 8. Flavio 18. El Mahdioui A. (C) 11. Fulgini A. 7. Al Kuwaykibi M. 10. Martinez Tobinson R. B. 27. Mandash S.	81. Maximiano L. (G) 15. Al Oyayari A. 4. Al Dawsari K. 44. Zeze N. 25. Abdi F. 24. Noor A. 8. Doucoure A. 72. Kone A. 10. Benrahma S. 22. Bouabre S. 71. Abdu A. (C)
Substitutes
9. Adam A. 2. Al Alaeli M. 55. Al Dossari M. 66. Al Hurayji B. 26. Al Shuayl I. 13. Atiah A. (G) 29. Bahusayn A. 6. Victor Hugo 19. Zambrano C.	11. Al Ali H. 40. Al Asmari A. 20. Al Khaibri T. 48. Al Nakhli A. 93. Al Saluli A. 27. Hawsawi I. 91. Lacazette A. 1. Malayekah M. (G) 50. Ozaybi R. (G)
Coaches
Chamusca P.	Galtier C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Doucoure A. 🟨,
39', El Mahdioui A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
69', Al Kuwaykibi M. ↓, Zambrano C. ↑,
72', Al Ahmad W. 🟨,
74', Abdu A. ↓, Lacazette A. ↑,
79', Fulgini A. ↓, Victor Hugo ↑,
85', Al Dawsari K. ↓, Al Saluli A. ↑,
87', Abdi F. 🟨,
90+3', Andrei Girotto 🟨,
90+5', 0 - 1, Benrahma S. (Pen),
90+6', Al Oyayari A. ↓, Al Asmari A. ↑,
90+7', Bouabre S. ↓, Al Ali H. ↑,
90+7', Flavio ↓, Adam A. ↑,
90+9', Noor A. 🟨,
90+17', 1 - 1, Al Ahmad W. ⚽, Mandash S. (A),
90+19', Al Alaeli M. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 8).

Al-Taawoun is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Neom has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Taawoun FC
Saudi Professional League
07.11.25	Al Fateh - Al-Taawoun	2:5 ✺
01.11.25	Al-Taawoun - Al-Qadisiya	2:0 ✺
Saudi King Cup
27.10.25	Al-Khaleej - Al-Taawoun	2:1 penalties ✺
Saudi Professional League
23.10.25	Al-Feiha - Al-Taawoun	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Al-Taawoun - Damac	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWLWW
- Neom SC
Saudi Professional League
08.11.25	Neom - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:3 ✺
30.10.25	Al-Kholood - Neom	2:3 ✺
24.10.25	Neom - Al-Khaleej	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Neom - Al-Qadisiya	1:3 ✺
27.09.25	Al-Riyadh - Neom	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWTLW

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