The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Talaba 23.3%
Draw 27.8%
Al-Shorta Baghdad 48.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
27.1%
29.4%
43.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27%
29.3%
43.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Talaba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Al-Shorta Baghdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Shorta Baghdad's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Talaba than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shorta Baghdad than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Shorta Baghdad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al Talaba - Al Shorta Baghdad Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 17th and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Talaba won 1.
In recent outings, Al-Talaba has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Al-Shorta shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, Al-Shorta has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Al-Shorta holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Al-Talaba has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:19 (averaging 1:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Al-Talaba against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 3:7 goals (averaging 0.6:1.4 per game).
Iraq
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