Match Info

Division 1 - Round 14

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Prince Mohammed bin Abdul Aziz Stadium (Medina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al-Ula		Al-Anwar

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.35	7.3
	1.35	4.69	7.34
	1.33	4.4	8
	1.38	5.08	6.61	Watch
	1.32	5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.49)	4.7 ↑ (3.86)	7.35 ↑ (5.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ula
68.1%

Draw
19.5%

Al-Anwar
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

23.5%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

22.7%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Ula's performance.

Al-Anwar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ula than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Anwar than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Al Ula - Al Anwar Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Al-Ula will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ula (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Al-Ula (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ula (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Al Owais M. (C) 14. Al Jumaiya F. 10. Guanca C. 15. Nastasic M. 27. Al Shamrani H. 29. Al Majhad M. 5. Danilo Barbosa 20. Traore A. 8. Al Sulaiheem A. 7. Al Khulaif A. 9. Koulouris E.	37. Al Dous N. (G) 11. Al Shahrani L. 5. Majrashi H. 13. Raykar 12. Al Mutairi R. 8. Gabriel K. 6. Damdam A. 70. Kaabi K. 3. Al Nakhli S. 19. Caraballo R. 9. Tiago Bezerra (C)
Substitutes
55. Al Hadhood N. 99. Al Jizani F. 1. Al Jubaya A. (G) 88. Al Nabit S. 66. Al Ruwaili K. 12. Al Shamrani K. 49. Al Zain A. 2. Al Zubaidi A. 3. Razzaq A.	27. Al Dhulayfai M. (G) 16. Al Ghamdi M. 77. Al Hamdani M. 10. Al Majali F. 15. Al Zahrani M. 21. Hussein S. 24. Jawshan Y. 29. Marlon 7. Sharahili H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Koulouris E. ⚽, Nastasic M. (A),
44', Kaabi K. 🟨,
45+4', Nastasic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Al Nakhli S. ↓, Marlon ↑,
57', Al Shamrani H. 🟨,
69', Raykar 🟨,
71', Al Khulaif A. ↓, Al Nabit S. ↑,
74', Kaabi K. ↓, Al Hamdani M. ↑,
78', Al Owais M. 🟨,
80', 1 - 1, Tiago Bezerra (Penalty Awarded),
83', Al Jumaiya F. ↓, Al Zubaidi A. ↑,
83', Guanca C. ↓, Al Jizani F. ↑,
83', Al Shamrani H. ↓, Al Shamrani K. ↑,
89', Majrashi H. 🟨,
90+3', Caraballo R. ↓, Jawshan Y. ↑,
90+3', Al Mutairi R. ↓, Hussein S. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 14).

Recent performances by Al-Ula have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Anwar is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Al-Anwar has had a series of home games.

In this match, Al-Ula is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ula FC
Saudi Division 1
25.12.25	Al-Jabalain - Al-Ula	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Al-Ula - Al Jandal	5:1 ✺
12.12.25	Abha - Al-Ula	2:0 ✺
27.11.25	Al-Adalh - Al-Ula	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Al-Ula - Jeddah	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TWLTT
- Al-Anwar Club Hotat Bani Tamim
Saudi Division 1
24.12.25	Al-Anwar - Al-Batin	2:2 ✺
19.12.25	Al-Anwar - Al-Bukayriyah	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Anwar	3:1 ✺
28.11.25	Al-Anwar - Al-Zulfi	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Al-Anwar - Al-Taee	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLWL

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