Match Info

Division 1 - Round 23

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Prince Mohammed bin Abdul Aziz Stadium (Medina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al-Ula		Al-Taee

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.35	6.1
	1.45	4.55	6.45
	1.42	4.47	6.03	Watch
	1.44	3.9	5.5
	1.4	4.33	6.39	Watch
	1.55	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.53)	4.27 ↓ (4.44)	5.91 ↑ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ula
63.2%

Draw
21.4%

Al-Taee
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

20.6%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

19.7%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Al-Taee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ula than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Taee than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Al Ula - Al Taee Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Al Owais M. (C) 14. Jumayah F. 24. Al Dohaim A. 66. Al Ruwaili K. 27. Al Shamrani H. 5. Danilo Barbosa 29. Al Majhad M. 96. Michael 10. Guanca C. 8. Al Sulaiheem A. 9. Koulouris E.	33. Dagriri A. (G) 88. Al Nakhli I. 5. Haquin L. (C) 26. Al Hamad F. 23. Al Quamiri N. 6. Halilovic D. 8. Jonata Machado 80. Al Johani S. 9. Knoll T. 15. Al Habib H. 44. Al Mutair M.
Substitutes
77. Adam A. 45. Al Asmari F. 11. Al Enezi Z. 6. Al Hussain A. 1. Al Jubaya A. (G) 88. Al Nabit S. 12. Al Shamrani K. 4. Haqawi Y. 3. Razzaq A.	12. Al Alawi A. 22. Al Ammar A. (G) 27. Al Hamyani A. 10. Al Harthi A. M. 17. Al Jassem A. 18. Al Senan Y. S. b. M. 70. Al Shamlan R. 19. Al Shurafa H. 32. Khalil A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Al Johani S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
57', Al Johani S. ↓, Al Shurafa H. ↑,
58', Al Quamiri N. ↓, Al Harthi A. M. ↑,
58', Al Habib H. ↓, Al Shamlan R. ↑,
62', Al Ruwaili K. ↓, Adam A. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Koulouris E. ⚽, Adam A. (A),
69', Al Nakhli I. 🟨,
78', Koulouris E. ↓, Al Hussain A. ↑,
80', Al Shamlan R. 🟨,
80', Al Harthi A. M. ↓, Khalil A. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Adam A. ⚽, Michael (A),
88', Al Hamad F. ↓, Al Alawi A. ↑,
90', 3 - 0, Adam A. ⚽, Al Sulaiheem A. (A),
90+1', Michael ↓, Razzaq A. ↑,
90+2', Al Shamrani H. ↓, Al Shamrani K. ↑,
90+2', Al Sulaiheem A. ↓, Al Nabit S. ↑,
90+3', Al Nabit S. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League and 9).

Al-Ula has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Al-Taee has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Al-Ula is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Al-Ula will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Ula won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Ula	5	5	0	0	10:1	9	15
3	Al Taee	6	3	1	2	9:9	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ula FC
Saudi Division 1
15.02.26	Al-Diriyah - Al-Ula	1:3 ✺
09.02.26	Al-Batin - Al-Ula	0:1 ✺
03.02.26	Al-Ula - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Ula	1:3 ✺
22.01.26	Al-Ula - Al-Wahda Mecca	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWW
- Al-Taee
Saudi Division 1
14.02.26	Al-Taee - Al Jubail	4:0 ✺
08.02.26	Al-Taee - Al Raed	2:2 ✺
03.02.26	Al-Adalh - Al-Taee	1:3 ✺
28.01.26	Al-Taee - Al-Orobah	1:3 ✺
23.01.26	Al-Diriyah - Al-Taee	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
27.10.25	Al-Taee - Al-Ula	1:5

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