Match Info

Division 1 - Round 19

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Al Bukayriyah Club Stadium (Al Bukayriyah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al-Bukayriyah		Al-Ula

	1	X	2
	3.95	3.3	1.8
	4.34	3.46	1.83
	4.15	3.39	1.8	Watch
	4	3.1	1.8
	4.34	3.3	1.76	Watch
	4.2	3.25	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↑ (3.2)	3.3 ↑ (3.05)	1.8 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Bukayriyah
21.9%

Draw
27.6%

Al-Ula
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

29.5%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

29%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Bukayriyah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Bukayriyah's form might have worsened.

Al-Ula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Ula's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Bukayriyah than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Bukayriyah, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ula than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Ula, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Al Bukayriyah - Al Ula Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Al Khamali B. (G) 90. Fallatah S. 2. Jaafari I. 75. Al Shuwayyi K. 81. Al Barakah I. 13. Al Sunaytan I. 10. Kaabi N. 8. Faik H. (C) 17. Pain C. 14. Moya J. 9. Ousmane Pato	33. Al Owais M. (G) 2. Al Zubaidi A. 24. Al Dohaim A. 15. Nastasic M. 49. Al Zain A. 5. Danilo Barbosa 29. Al Majhad M. 20. Traore A. 10. Guanca C. (C) 7. Al Khulaif A. 9. Koulouris E.
Substitutes
23. Al Harbi M. 7. Al Hazemi K. 32. Al Malki M. 11. Al Muwallad S. 26. Al Nakhli M. 1. Jawhar M. (G) 19. Pinero F. 18. Sane M. 66. Sharahili R.	45. Al Asmari F. 11. Al Enezi Z. 55. Al Hadhood N. 1. Al Jubaya A. (G) 88. Al Nabit S. 66. Al Ruwaili K. 8. Al Sulaiheem A. 4. Haqawi Y. 3. Razzaq A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', Danilo Barbosa 🟨,
7', 0 - 1, Al Khulaif A. ⚽, Koulouris E. (A),
16', 1 - 1, Danilo Barbosa (Own goal),
37', 1 - 2, Al Khulaif A. ⚽, Traore A. (A),
45+1', Fallatah S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Moya J. ↓, Al Nakhli M. ↑,
46', Jaafari I. ↓, Al Muwallad S. ↑,
64', 1 - 3, Koulouris E. ⚽, Traore A. (A),
76', Al Barakah I. ↓, Sane M. ↑,
79', Traore A. ↓, Al Sulaiheem A. ↑,
80', Al Khulaif A. ↓, Al Nabit S. ↑,
84', Al Sunaytan I. ↓, Sharahili R. ↑,
84', Pain C. ↓, Al Malki M. ↑,
86', Al Shuwayyi K. 🟨,
87', Guanca C. 🟨,
88', Nastasic M. 🟨,
90+4', Al Majhad M. ↓, Razzaq A. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Al-Ula is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Bukayriyah won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Ula	5	5	0	0	10:1	9	15
17	Al Bukiryah	6	0	2	4	4:11	-7	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Bukayriyah FC
Saudi Division 1
23.01.26	Al-Orobah - Al-Bukayriyah	3:0 ✺
16.01.26	Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Diriyah	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Al-Faisaly - Al-Bukayriyah	1:2 ✺
06.01.26	Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Batin	5:1 ✺
31.12.25	Jeddah - Al-Bukayriyah	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLWWT
- Al-Ula FC
Saudi Division 1
22.01.26	Al-Ula - Al-Wahda Mecca	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Al-Zulfi - Al-Ula	0:0 ✺
12.01.26	Al-Ula - Al Jubail	3:0 ✺
07.01.26	Al Raed - Al-Ula	3:2 ✺
30.12.25	Al-Ula - Al-Anwar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
17.09.25	Al-Ula - Al-Bukayriyah	3:0

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