Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Al Nahyan Stadium (Abu Dhabi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2
Pakistan	Tapmad
Qatar	Al Kass Five
Russia	TV Start
South-korea	Coupang Play
Ukraine	Sport 1
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Al-Wahda		Al-Sadd

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.7	3.3
	2.02	3.85	3.7
	1.93	3.89	3.39	Watch
	1.98	3.64	3.64	Watch
	1.86	3.8	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.9)	3.78 ↓ (4)	3.56 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Wahda
48.5%

Draw
25%

Al-Sadd
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

23.9%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

23.2%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Wahda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Al-Sadd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Wahda than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Sadd than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	0%	6.2%

Al Wahda - Al Sadd Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Al-Sadd (1.93) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Wahda will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Wahda will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Wahda (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Al-Sadd (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Al Shamsi M. (G) 5. Zouhir A. 3. Pimenta Peres Lopes L. 30. Ogbu F. I. 19. Amaral R. 6. Ghorbani M. 12. Hamad A. 10. Tadic D. 25. Jadsom 70. Khribin O. M. (C) 94. Diarra B.	22. Barsham M. (G) 37. Suhail A. 5. Salman T. 29. Saiss R. 6. Paulo Otavio 18. Guilherme 4. Camara M. 21. Giovani 33. Claudinho 7. Afif A. (C) 9. Roberto Firmino
Substitutes
60. Abaelaziz B. 80. Abdullah A. 36. Ahmed Z. (G) 7. Caio Canedo 15. Dehghan M. 22. Folha B. 32. Guga 31. Ivkovic S. 11. Kruspzky F. 38. Pradas A. 13. Shebab H. 27. Trayi L.	31. Abdullla Y. (G) 23. Ali H. 1. Al Sheeb S. (G) 8. Asad A. 20. Atal Y. 16. Khoukhi B. 14. Meshaal M. 19. Mujica R. 2. Pedro Miguel 26. Prim P. 80. Soria A. 11. Waad M.
Coaches
Morais J.	Mancini R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Camara M. 🟨,
32', Pimenta Peres Lopes L. 🟨,
33', Roberto Firmino ↓, Mujica R. ↑,
45+3', 0 - 1, Claudinho (Pen),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Pimenta Peres Lopes L. ↓, Abdullah A. ↑,
46', Ghorbani M. ↓, Kruspzky F. ↑,
46', Guilherme ↓, Soria A. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Tadic D. ⚽, Abdullah A. (A),
65', Camara M. ↓, Prim P. ↑,
65', Giovani ↓, Atal Y. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Tadic D. ⚽, Khribin O. M. (A),
84', Diarra B. ↓, Caio Canedo ↑,
84', Jadsom ↓, Dehghan M. ↑,
87', 3 - 1, Caio Canedo ⚽, Tadic D. (A),
88', Salman T. ↓, Asad A. ↑,
90', Claudinho 🟨,
90', Abdullah A. 🟨,
90+2', Hamad A. ↓, Ivkovic S. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).

Al-Wahda is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Al-Sadd has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Al-Sadd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Al-Sadd has had a series of home games.

Al-Wahda could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Wahda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5.

Including home match between the teams, Al-Wahda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Wahda FC
UAE Football League
21.11.25	Dibba Al Fujairah - Al-Wahda	1:1 ✺
UAE League Cup
15.11.25	Al-Wahda - Khor Fakkan	2:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
03.11.25	Nasaf Qarshi - Al-Wahda	1:2 ✺
UAE Football League
30.10.25	Al-Wahda - Al-Nasr	3:2 ✺
UAE Presidents Cup
24.10.25	Al-Wahda - Al Dhafra	3:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTWWW
- Al-Sadd SC
Qatar QSL
22.11.25	Al-Sadd - Al-Sailiya	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Umm-Salal - Al-Sadd	3:8 ✺
AFC Champions League
04.11.25	Al-Sadd - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:2 ✺
Qatar QSL
30.10.25	Al-Sadd - Al-Rayyan	5:1 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
28.10.25	Al-Sadd - Al-Shahania	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
17.02.15	Al-Wahda - Al-Sadd	4:5 penalties

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