Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 29

Date: 22 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: King Abdul Aziz Stadium (Mecca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA, GOBX Arabic
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1
South-korea	SPOTV Now


	Al-Wahda Mecca		Al-Ahli Jeddah

	1	X	2
	7.5	7	1.25
	6.75	5.25	1.38
	7.6	6.8	1.26
	9.98	6.45	1.23
	10.3	6.13	1.24
	6.5	4.6	1.36
	8.4	7.84	1.28
	7.6	6.8	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.08 ↑ (6.75)	6.36 ↑ (5.3)	1.28 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Wahda Mecca
11.7%

Draw
14.8%

Al-Ahli Jeddah
73.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.7%

17.4%

68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.2%

18.1%

71.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Wahda Mecca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Al-Ahli Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Wahda Mecca than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Al Wahda Mecca - Al Ahli Jeddah Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Al-Wahda (2.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Al-Ahli (1.75) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Ahli Jeddah will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Ahli Jeddah will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Wahda (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Al-Ahli (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Al Owayshir A. (G) 2. Al Muwallad S. 22. Makki A. 17. Al Hafith A. 13. Al Alaeli M. 8. Al Haji A. 4. Bakshween W. (C) 10. Bacuna J. 24. Noor A. 18. Bguir S. 80. Naji Y.	16. Mendy E. (G) 27. Majrashi A. 28. Demiral M. 3. Ibanez 5. Sulaiman M. 79. Kessie F. (C) 30. Al Johani Z. 7. Mahrez R. 24. Veiga G. 13. Galeno 99. Toney I.
Substitutes
28. Al Eisa H. 35. Al Makahasi M. 47. Al Rashidi A. (G) 49. Al Salem A. 11. Amyn Y. 6. Cretu A. 23. Goodwin C. 9. Ighalo O. 77. Khodari M.	15. Al Ammar A. 9. Al Buraikan F. 6. Al Hurayji B. 14. Al Muwallad E. 8. Al Nabit S. 19. Al Rashidi F. 1. Al Sanbi A. (G) 45. Darisi A. 46. Hamidou R.
Coaches
Carreno D.	Jaissle M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Ibanez ⚽,
31', Al Haji A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Noor A. ↓, Goodwin C. ↑,
46', Bguir S. ↓, Amyn Y. ↑,
58', 0 - 2, Galeno ⚽, Mahrez R. (A),
61', Al Muwallad S. ↓, Al Makahasi M. ↑,
61', Bakshween W. ↓, Cretu A. ↑,
64', Veiga G. ↓, Al Ammar A. ↑,
64', Sulaiman M. ↓, Al Buraikan F. ↑,
66', Bacuna J. 🟨,
74', Makki A. ↓, Al Salem A. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Al Hafith A. ⚽, Goodwin C. (A),
89', 1 - 3, Mahrez R. ⚽, Kessie F. (A),
90+3', Ibanez ↓, Hamidou R. ↑,
90+4', Kessie F. ↓, Al Muwallad E. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 3, Al Haji A. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Wahda won 0.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Al-Wahda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Al-Ahli is indisputable favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Al-Wahda won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 17:30 (average 1:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Wahda won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:12 (average 1.1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Wahda Mecca
Saudi Professional League
19.04.25	Al-Taawoun - Al-Wahda Mecca	0:2 ✺
10.04.25	Damac - Al-Wahda Mecca	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:3 ✺
14.03.25	Al-Khaleej - Al-Wahda Mecca	0:2 ✺
06.03.25	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al Raed	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WWLWW
- Al-Ahli Jeddah
Saudi Professional League
18.04.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Feiha	5:0 ✺
11.04.25	Al Raed - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	2:2 ✺
15.03.25	Al Akhdoud - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
11.03.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Rayyan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
29.11.24	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Wahda Mecca	1:0
05.04.24	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:1
21.10.23	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Wahda Mecca	3:1
05.02.21	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:4
22.10.20	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Wahda Mecca	1:0
14.02.20	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:0
Saudi King Cup
18.01.20	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:2

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