The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Ahli Jeddah 49.3%
Draw 25.3%
Al-Ittihad Jeddah 25.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.5%
24.4%
22.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.6%
23.1%
20.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ahli Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Al-Ittihad Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Ahli Jeddah, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittihad Jeddah than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
30%
20%
Al Ahli Jeddah - Al Ittihad Jeddah Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Al-Ahli will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Al-Ittihad will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ahli: 19% – 81%.
16. Mendy E. (C) 27. Majrashi A. 46. Hamidou R. 3. Ibanez 2. Al Hawsawi Z. 79. Kessie F. 30. Al Johani Z. 6. Atangana V. 7. Mahrez R. 17. Toney I. 13. Galeno
1. Rajkovic P. (G) 13. Al Shanqiti M. 2. Pereira D. 20. Sharahili A. 15. Kadesh H. 17. Doumbia M. 8. Fabinho (C) 19. Diaby M. 10. Aouar H. 34. Bergwijn S. 21. En Nesyri Y.
Substitutes
62. Abdo A. (G) 29. Abdulrahman M. 47. Abu Al Shamat S. 9. Al Buraikan F. 14. Al Muwallad E. 1. Al Sanbi A. (G) 20. Matheus Goncalves 5. Sulaiman M.
50. Al Absi M. (G) 22. Al Bishi A. 27. Al Ghamdi A. 16. Al Ghamdi F. 80. Al Ghamdi H. 32. Al Julaydan A. 24. Al Oboud A. 66. Barnawi M. 41. Fallatah M.
Coaches
Jaissle M.
Conceicao S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Galeno 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Toney I. ⚽, Galeno (A),
32', Fabinho 🟨,
35', 🟨,
40', Doumbia M. 🟨,
45+4', 🟨,
45+4', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Fabinho (Penalty Awarded),
59', 2 - 1, Mahrez R. ⚽,
67', Al Johani Z. ↓, Al Buraikan F. ↑,
75', Diaby M. ↓, Al Julaydan A. ↑,
75', Sharahili A. ↓, Al Oboud A. ↑,
84', 3 - 1, Al Buraikan F. ⚽,
86', Mahrez R. ↓, Al Muwallad E. ↑,
86', Aouar H. ↓, Al Bishi A. ↑,
88', Pereira D. 🟨,
90+3', Al Hawsawi Z. ↓, Sulaiman M. ↑,
90+4', Toney I. ↓, Abu Al Shamat S. ↑,
90+7', Mendy E. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli won 3.
Al-Ahli is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Al-Ittihad is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Al-Ittihad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Al-Ahli will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:21. (average 1.7:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ahli won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:12. (average 2:1.3).
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World
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Mendy E. (C) 
Majrashi A. 
Ibanez 
Kessie F. 
Atangana V. 
Mahrez R. 
Toney I. 
Rajkovic P. (G) 
Pereira D. 
Doumbia M. 
Bergwijn S. 
En Nesyri Y. 
Jaissle M. 
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