Match Info

Division 1 - Round 21

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: King Abdul Aziz Stadium (Mecca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al-Wahda Mecca		Al-Faisaly

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.45	1.95
	3.3	3.68	2.04
	3.2	3.67	1.97	Watch
	3.2	3.25	1.95
	3.22	3.44	2
	3.2	3.6	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↓ (3.57)	3.52 ↓ (3.64)	1.99 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Wahda Mecca
28.3%

Draw
25.9%

Al-Faisaly
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

25.1%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

24.5%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Wahda Mecca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Al-Faisaly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Wahda Mecca than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Faisaly than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Al Wahda Mecca - Al Faisaly Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
47. Al Rashidi A. (G) 6. Al Maqadi R. 70. Al Muwallad A. 5. Chafai F. 53. Adnan A. 24. Al Maqadi S. 4. Boudjemaa M. 11. Diallo D. 22. Al Nakhli A. 79. Al Muwashar S. (C) 28. Johnsen B.	26. Al Hasawi M. (G) 99. Al Mhemaid A. 4. Raphael Silva 70. Jahfali M. (C) 25. Saleem M. 28. Al Fuhaid M. 12. Morato 77. Al Shereaf A. 14. Al Mogren A. 66. Quioto R. 90. Luvannor
Substitutes
17. Al Lehiyani S. 1. Al Oaisher A. (G) 55. Al Qahtani S. 3. Al Sebyani H. 29. Al Taleb F. 77. Khadhari M. 23. Majrashi A. 12. Makeen A. 26. Nakhli M.	18. Al Aqeel M. 97. Al Dossari F. 7. Al Nakhli M. 29. Al Sahli A. 9. Al Solan H. 2. Barnawi Y. 3. Doshy M. 5. Eduardo Henrique 72. Gabous S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Saleem M. 🟨,
23', Al Nakhli A. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Quioto R. ⚽, Saleem M. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Diallo D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Saleem M. ↓, Doshy M. ↑,
46', Al Maqadi R. ↓, Al Sebyani H. ↑,
46', Al Nakhli A. ↓, Al Taleb F. ↑,
58', Al Fuhaid M. ↓, Eduardo Henrique ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Al Taleb F. ⚽, Al Muwashar S. (A),
73', Al Shereaf A. ↓, Al Nakhli M. ↑,
73', Al Muwashar S. ↓, Makeen A. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Morato ⚽, Al Mogren A. (A),
84', Al Maqadi S. ↓, Nakhli M. ↑,
86', Johnsen B. ↓, Khadhari M. ↑,
90+1', Al Muwallad A. 🟨,
90+2', Morato ↓, Al Dossari F. ↑,
90+2', Quioto R. ↓, Barnawi Y. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Wahda won 2.

Al-Wahda is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Faisaly has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Al-Faisaly will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Al-Wahda won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 1.5:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Wahda won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Al Wehda	6	1	5	0	9:7	2	8

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Faisaly - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.21%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Wahda Mecca
Saudi Division 1
04.02.26	Al-Diriyah - Al-Wahda Mecca	5:0 ✺
28.01.26	Al-Wahda Mecca - Jeddah	2:1 ✺
22.01.26	Al-Ula - Al-Wahda Mecca	3:0 ✺
16.01.26	Al-Jabalain - Al-Wahda Mecca	2:0 ✺
12.01.26	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al Jandal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLT
- Al-Faisaly
Saudi Division 1
04.02.26	Al-Faisaly - Al Jandal	4:2 ✺
30.01.26	Al-Faisaly - Al-Zulfi	2:3 ✺
26.01.26	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Faisaly	0:3 ✺
21.01.26	Al-Faisaly - Abha	0:2 ✺
16.01.26	Al-Batin - Al-Faisaly	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
04.10.25	Al-Faisaly - Al-Wahda Mecca	2:2
Saudi King Cup
22.09.24	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Faisaly	2:1 penalties
Saudi Professional League
12.02.21	Al-Faisaly - Al-Wahda Mecca	2:4
30.10.20	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Faisaly	1:2
30.08.20	Al-Faisaly - Al-Wahda Mecca	2:1
27.12.19	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Faisaly	1:0
12.04.19	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Faisaly	1:2

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