Match Info

QSL - Round 15

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday

Location: Al Janoub Stadium (Al Wakrah)

Referee: Ayesh N. (Qat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA
Qatar	Al Kass One, Shoof


	Al-Wakrah		Al-Ahli Doha

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	2.8
	2.22	3.45	2.88
	2.2	3.67	3.11
	2.16	3.75	2.93	Watch
	2.1	3.3	2.9
	2.14	3.35	3	Watch
	2.12	3.5	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.98)	3.49 ↓ (3.58)	2.96 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Wakrah
42.7%

Draw
26.3%

Al-Ahli Doha
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

25.9%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

24.8%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Wakrah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Al-Ahli Doha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Wakrah than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Wakrah, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Doha than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Al Wakrah - Al Ahli Doha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Al Khater S. (G) 16. Erfan N. 28. Lucas Verissimo 2. Lucas Mendes (C) 47. Waad F. 93. Laidouni A. 8. Fathy H. 13. Abdurisag Y. 32. Luis Alberto 7. Assal A. 11. Berkane R.	1. Naim Y. (C) 18. Jassem Mohammed 5. Troost-Ekong W. 16. Tihi R. 12. Mohammed H. 41. Reyed A. 20. Mansour H. 8. Fettouhi D. 7. Draxler J. 14. Vlap M. 10. Exposito E.
Substitutes
1. Al Bakri M. (G) 15. Ali A. 14. Al Muhaza T. 20. Al Yazidi N. 5. Fadel A. 3. Hassan A. 21. Muneer K. 24. Naji M. 9. Njie Y. 6. Salah O. 40. Valentin G. 75. Zouhzouh A.	70. Abdelrahman Y. 21. Al Ishaq M. 4. Ali T. 88. Amraoui A. 35. Badredlin M. (G) 6. Diallo I. 24. Doumbouya A. 29. Gannan S. 33. Mohammed K. 23. Radwan K. 9. Yansane S. 3. Yassine I.
Coaches
Moreno V.	Ali Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Reyed A. ⚽,
31', Draxler J. ↓, Yansane S. ↑,
34', Mansour H. 🟨,
37', Al Khater S. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 1, Assal A. ⚽, Abdurisag Y. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Laidouni A. ↓, Zouhzouh A. ↑,
46', Waad F. ↓, Naji M. ↑,
62', Assal A. ↓, Salah O. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Lucas Mendes ⚽,
72', Jassem Mohammed 🟨,
73', Mansour H. ↓, Mohammed K. ↑,
73', Mohammed H. ↓, Yassine I. ↑,
73', Jassem Mohammed ↓, Gannan S. ↑,
74', Abdurisag Y. 🟨,
75', 2 - 2, Yansane S. ⚽,
83', Luis Alberto ↓, Valentin G. ↑,
84', Fettouhi D. ↓, Diallo I. ↑,
88', Gannan S. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 2, Fathy H. ⚽, Zouhzouh A. (A),
90+3', Berkane R. ↓, Njie Y. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 10)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Wakrah won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Al-Wakrah may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Al-Wakrah is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Wakrah won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 43:44. (average 2.2:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Wakrah won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:13. (average 2.8:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Al Ahli Doha	4	1	1	2	5:9	-4	4
11	Al Wakrah	4	0	2	2	4:9	-5	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Wakrah SC
Qatar QSL
29.01.26	Al-Wakrah - Al-Shahania	4:0 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
20.01.26	Al-Markhiya - Al-Wakrah	1:1 ✺
Qatar QSL
15.01.26	Al-Wakrah - Al Duhail	0:2 ✺
07.01.26	Al-Wakrah - Al-Arabi Doha	0:1 ✺
28.12.25	Al-Sailiya - Al-Wakrah	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WTLLT
- Al-Ahli Doha
Qatar QSL
31.01.26	Al-Ahli Doha - Qatar SC	1:3 ✺
Super Cup UAE Qatar
25.01.26	Al-Jazira - Al-Ahli Doha	1:2 penalties ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
19.01.26	Al-Sailiya - Al-Ahli Doha	2:1 ✺
Qatar QSL
16.01.26	Al-Sadd - Al-Ahli Doha	2:0 ✺
07.01.26	Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Shamal	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QSL Cup
11.11.25	Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Wakrah	2:2
Qatar QSL
13.09.25	Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Wakrah	5:3
11.01.25	Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Wakrah	6:3
Qatar QSL Cup
15.11.24	Al-Wakrah - Al-Ahli Doha	3:1
Qatar QSL
11.08.24	Al-Wakrah - Al-Ahli Doha	2:2
28.04.24	Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Wakrah	1:0
08.12.23	Al-Wakrah - Al-Ahli Doha	3:2

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