Match Info

ASIA: AFC CUP - ROUND 6

Date: 12 December 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Al-Zawraa		Al-Riffa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.57	3.9	4.4	Watch
	1.63	4	4.5	Watch
	1.64	4.12	4.26
	1.65	4.12	4.26
	1.53	3.8	4.75
	1.62	3.95	5	Watch
	1.61	3.95	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (2.94)	3.98 ↑ (3.4)	4.52 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Zawraa
56.8%

Draw
23%

Al-Riffa
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

26.6%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

27%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Zawraa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Zawraa's performance.

Al-Riffa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Riffa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Zawraa than the current prediction. (-26.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Zawraa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Riffa than the current prediction. (+23.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Riffa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

Al Zawraa - Al Riffa Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Al-Zawraa will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Al-Riffa will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Zawraa: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Hachim J. (C) 27. Mohammad S. 5. Jabbar M. 44. Nadhim M. 13. John C. 6. Kadhim H. 10. Sayyid H. 26. Mahmood Shaheen A. S. 16. Hussain Falah 23. Muhsen A. 37. Opare C.	29. Efrih A. (G) 22. Bosharrar F. 12. Djordjevic L. 4. Baqer S. M. 19. Ali Al Eker H. 21. Benmansour Y. 13. Shaikh A. J. (C) 25. Mohamed Q. 7. Khalid A. 9. Silva A. 11. Al-Attar M.
Substitutes
21. Abdulkareem H. 22. Akbar A. 25. Ali M. 9. Chihi I. 15. Houbeib E. H. 24. Ismail A. F. (G) 34. Maan M. 11. Maraksi R. 7. Murad M. 18. Ndoutoumo R. 31. Sami M. (G)	1. Al Ajmi M. A. A. A. (G) 10. Al Aswad K. H. A. A. H. 28. Ali H. 32. Al Khalaf K. 15. Al-Shamsan H. 5. Anez M. 24. Fardan A. (G) 14. Haram A. 16. Hasan S. 18. Isa A. H. 17. Sayed Hashim 8. Vargas

Preview

Al-Riffa is Qualified for AFC Cup (Play Offs )

Al-Zawraa in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Al-Riffa is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Al-Riffa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Al-Riffa have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Al-Zawraa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Zawraa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Zawraa
Iraqi Premier League
08.12.23	Al-Zawraa - Duhok	3:0 ✺
AFC Cup
27.11.23	Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Zawraa	1:1 ✺
Iraqi Premier League
10.11.23	Al-Hudood - Al-Zawraa	0:1 ✺
AFC Cup
06.11.23	Nejmeh - Al-Zawraa	1:2 ✺
Iraqi Premier League
02.11.23	Al-Zawraa - Al-Qasim	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTWWW
- Al-Riffa SC
Bahraini Kings Cup
07.12.23	Al-Riffa - Ali CSC	5:0 ✺
Bahraini Premier League
03.12.23	Al-Riffa - Al Khalidiah	1:0 ✺
AFC Cup
27.11.23	Al-Riffa - Nejmeh	6:1 ✺
Bahraini Cup
18.11.23	Al-Riffa - Malkiya	2:2 ✺
Bahraini Premier League
10.11.23	Al-Riffa - East Riffa Club	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Cup
02.10.23	Al-Riffa - Al-Zawraa	1:1
Arab Club Championship Cup
24.08.19	Al-Zawraa - Al-Riffa	0:1

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