Match Info

AFC Champions League 2 - Round 5

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Al-Zawraa Stadium (Baghdad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 5, SportKlub 6
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Russia	TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
Ukraine	Sport 2
World	Sport 2 Baltic


	Al-Zawraa		Goa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.26	5.3	9	Watch
	1.28	5.82	9
	1.46	4.84	5.38	Watch
	1.32	5.28	8.11	Watch
	1.3	5	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.46)	5.25 ↑ (4.84)	8 ↑ (5.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Zawraa
70.5%

Draw
17.8%

Goa
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

19.2%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

18.2%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Zawraa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Zawraa's performance.

Goa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Goa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Zawraa than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goa than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Al Zawraa - Goa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Zawraa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Goa (1.84) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Users Predictions: Al-Zawraa will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Zawraa (votes: 1 - 20%). Goa (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Hachim J. (C) 14. Kadhim R. 8. Hashem A. 5. Jabbar M. 11. Ismael D. 16. Nabeel K. 20. Bitang C. 9. Humaidan M. 10. Abdulkareem H. 21. Al Rashdan N. 49. Ibrahim	55. Tiwari H. (G) 17. Singh B. 3. Jhingan S. (C) 4. Moreno P. 27. Sangwan A. 15. Tavora S. 14. Chhetri A. 26. Herrera B. 42. Fernandes B. 71. Drazic D. 34. Guarrotxena I.
Substitutes
47. Abdulkareem H. 18. Aziz Y. 99. Bani Hani R. 27. Fadhil Najafi S. M. 22. Hassan H. (G) 6. Kadhim H. F. 25. Mahdi Al Saedi S. M. 26. Mahmood Shaheen A. S. 17. Mohammad M. 3. Nasib A. 4. Noori O. 19. Qasim M.	41. Carvalho S. 45. Jackson B. (G) 35. Kharbudon R. 18. Lalrinzuala J. 44. Nemil M. 23. Patre H. 77. Rabeeh A K A. 13. Sharma L. (G) 21. Singh U. 9. Siverio J. 30. Tamang N. 22. Vishwas P.
Coaches
El-Nahhas E.	Marquez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Chhetri A. 🟨,
27', Bitang C. 🟨,
30', Kadhim R. 🟨,
34', Chhetri A. 🟨,
36', Ibrahim (Pen),
38', 1 - 0, Kadhim R. ⚽,
45', Herrera B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Humaidan M. ↓, Qasim M. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Ismael D. (Own goal),
65', Ismael D. ↓, Mahdi Al Saedi S. M. ↑,
65', Nabeel K. ↓, Bani Hani R. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Abdulkareem H. ⚽,
74', Drazic D. ↓, Rabeeh A K A. ↑,
74', Guarrotxena I. ↓, Siverio J. ↑,
82', Fernandes B. ↓, Nemil M. ↑,
82', Tavora S. ↓, Patre H. ↑,
85', Al Rashdan N. 🟨,
85', Ibrahim ↓, Mohammad M. ↑,
85', Al Rashdan N. ↓, Abdulkareem H. ↑,
90+1', Singh B. ↓, Singh U. ↑,

Preview

Al-Zawraa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Goa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Goa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Goa has had a series of home games.

In this match, Al-Zawraa is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Al-Zawraa will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Zawraa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Zawraa
Iraqi Premier League
21.11.25	Al-Zawraa - Newroz	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
05.11.25	Al-Zawraa - Istiklol Dushanbe	2:1 ✺
Iraqi Premier League
31.10.25	Al Mosul - Al-Zawraa	1:3 ✺
27.10.25	Al-Qasim - Al-Zawraa	0:2 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
22.10.25	Istiklol Dushanbe - Al-Zawraa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWL
- FC Goa
AFC Champions League 2
05.11.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Goa	4:0 ✺
Indian Super Cup
01.11.25	Goa - NorthEast United	1:2 ✺
29.10.25	Goa - Inter Kashi	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Goa - Jamshedpur	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
22.10.25	Goa - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League 2
17.09.25	Goa - Al-Zawraa	0:2

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