The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alanyaspor 58.8%
Draw 23.6%
Fatih Karagümrükspor 17.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62%
23.8%
14.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.2%
23%
13.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alanyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alanyaspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Alanyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
48. Paulo Victor (G) 5. Aliti F. 42. Makouta G. 50. Akdag U. 94. Hadergjonaj F. 17. Janvier N. 20. Aksoy F. 14. Hagi I. 7. Karaca E. 10. Yalcin G. 11. Ruan
13. Grbic I. (C) 29. Balkovec J. 94. Cinar A. 32. Kadioglu M. 33. Kurukalip C. 72. Kalayci B. 5. Kranevitter M. 23. Larsson S. 8. Ozcan B. 70. Serginho 19. Fofana D. D.
Substitutes
16. Hwang Ui-Jo 38. Karademir Y. 27. Kaya I. 58. Maestro 99. Memik C. (G) 18. Mogultay B. 22. Ogundu U. 15. Oz M. 1. Taskiran E. (G) 2. Yavuz B.
50. Akdag O. 99. Beklevic F. (G) 14. Doh M. 24. Ersoy B. 11. Johnson D. 20. Kalpakli T. 17. Sivri A. 96. Yandal K. (G)
Coaches
Pereira J.
Korkmaz O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Hagi I. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Hadergjonaj F. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Fofana D. D. ⚽,
45+1', Aliti F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 1 - 2, Fofana D. D. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Makouta G. ↓, Maestro ↑,
61', Hagi I. ↓, Hwang Ui-Jo ↑,
61', Karaca E. ↓, Kaya I. ↑,
65', Kranevitter M. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
65', Fofana D. D. ↓, Doh M. ↑,
65', Serginho ↓, Sivri A. ↑,
65', Larsson S. ↓, Kalpakli T. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Hadergjonaj F. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Janvier N. ↓, Ogundu U. ↑,
77', Balkovec J. ↓, Ersoy B. ↑,
90', Akdag U. ↓, Mogultay B. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alanyaspor won 3.
Alanyaspor is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Karagümrük's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Alanyaspor is the undeniable favorite.
We predict that Alanyaspor will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Alanyaspor won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:10. (average 1.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Alanyaspor won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 2.2:0.8).