Match Info

Super Lig - Round 16

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Kadir Has Stadium (Kayseri)

Referee: Mertoglu E. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1


	Kayserispor		Alanyaspor

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.4	Watch
	2.79	3.35	2.46
	2.87	3.45	2.52
	2.78	3.45	2.48	Watch
	2.7	3.25	2.45
	2.85	3.45	2.56	Watch
	2.66	3.33	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.68)	3.38 ↓ (3.65)	2.47 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kayserispor
34.1%

Draw
27.8%

Alanyaspor
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

25.9%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

26.5%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kayserispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Alanyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	33.3%	20%

Kayserispor - Alanyaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Kayserispor will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Alanyaspor will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kayserispor: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Alanyaspor (2.14) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Alanyaspor (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Alanyaspor (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Bayazit B. (G) 30. Opoku A. 15. Ait Bennasser Y. 4. Denswil S. 28. Civelek R. 24. Tokoz D. 8. Benes L. 20. Mane C. 22. Tuci I. 7. Cardoso M. (C) 9. Onugkha G.	1. Taskiran E. (G) 20. Aksoy F. (C) 3. Lima N. 5. Aliti F. 94. Hadergjonaj F. 42. Makouta G. 50. Akdag U. 11. Ruan 14. Hagi I. 16. Hwang Ui-Jo 22. Ogundu U.
Substitutes
38. Cihan K. 46. Gokcek E. 71. Kaya A. 54. Kocaman A. 77. Korkmaz N. 35. Obut M. T. 16. Ozbek E. 29. Ozer N. 1. Piri O. (G) 99. Sariarslan T.	12. Elia M. 17. Janvier N. 7. Karaca E. 27. Kaya I. 58. Maestro 18. Mogultay B. 9. Mounie S. 48. Paulo Victor (G) 10. Yalcin G. 2. Yavuz B.
Coaches
Djalovic R.	Pereira J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Makouta G. 🟨,
56', Ogundu U. ↓, Mounie S. ↑,
70', Mounie S. 🟨,
71', Hagi I. ↓, Kaya I. ↑,
71', Lima N. ↓, Janvier N. ↑,
76', Tokoz D. ↓, Ozbek E. ↑,
77', Mane C. ↓, Sariarslan T. ↑,
80', Civelek R. ↓, Korkmaz N. ↑,
90+1', Hwang Ui-Jo ↓, Yalcin G. ↑,
90+2', Tuci I. ↓, Kocaman A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 2.

Kayserispor is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alanyaspor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Kayserispor has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Kayserispor: Ackah Y. (Inactive) Aslan B. (Suspended) Burak A. (Suspended) Mendes J. (Red Card) Soyalp F. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Alanyaspor: Bruno Viana (Injury) Bulut B. (Knee Injury) Celik I. (Suspended) Janvier N. (Inactive) Keskin E. (Suspended) Ozdemir Y. (Suspended) Ozyurt B. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Kayserispor: Carole L. (Injury) Hosseini M. (Injury) Jung G. (Injury) Kapacak B. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:39. (average 1.1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kayserispor won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Kayserispor - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 35.25%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Alanyaspor - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.87%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kayserispor
Turkish Super League
06.12.25	Eyüpspor - Kayserispor	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
02.12.25	Keçiörengücü - Kayserispor	2:0 ET ✺
Turkish Super League
29.11.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Kayserispor	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Kayserispor - Gaziantep	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Fenerbahçe - Kayserispor	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TLWLL
- Alanyaspor
Turkish Super League
08.12.25	Alanyaspor - Antalyaspor	0:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.12.25	Çorum - Alanyaspor	0:5 ✺
Turkish Super League
01.12.25	Samsunspor - Alanyaspor	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Alanyaspor - Kasımpaşa	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Trabzonspor - Alanyaspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
03.05.25	Alanyaspor - Kayserispor	1:1
08.12.24	Kayserispor - Alanyaspor	2:0
16.03.24	Alanyaspor - Kayserispor	1:0
06.11.23	Kayserispor - Alanyaspor	1:0
20.05.23	Kayserispor - Alanyaspor	0:4
28.12.22	Alanyaspor - Kayserispor	3:1
07.03.22	Kayserispor - Alanyaspor	1:2

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