Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 13 July 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Urartu Stadium (Yerevan) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Farkas A. (Hun)


	Alashkert		Arsenal Tivat

	1	X	2
	1.14	7	13	Watch
	1.18	6.5	13.5
	1.22	5	12
	1.18	5.5	12
	1.16	6.16	13.91
	1.23	5.25	9.95	Watch
	1.23	6	17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.47)	5.92 ↑ (3.87)	13.05 ↑ (6.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alashkert
77.4%

Draw
15.6%

Arsenal Tivat
7.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.6%

23.8%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

23.1%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alashkert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alashkert's performance.

Arsenal Tivat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arsenal Tivat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alashkert than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alashkert that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tivat than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arsenal Tivat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	11.8%	11.8%

Alashkert - Arsenal Tivat Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Alashkert will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Arsenal Tivat will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alashkert: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Cancarevic O. (G) 33. Ustinov V. 77. Muzek M. 3. Voskanyan T. (C) 27. Carrillo D. 20. Gareginyan Y. 5. Angulo W. 10. Khurtsidze D. 17. Yedigaryan A. 95. Agdon 99. Racines Y. B.	1. Puletic D. (G) 26. Zivkovic R. 16. Manojlovic C. (C) 3. Celebic N. 29. Cavor M. 8. Sahman I. 10. Mirkovic J. 21. Kojasevic D. 11. Montenegro J. 13. Maras L. 22. Muhovic J.
Substitutes
71. Aivazov A. (G) 21. Flores Barrios R. D. 2. Grigoryan S. 8. Ivanov S. 15. Khachatryan A. 4. Mensah A. 98. Mimito 7. Nalbandyan K. 11. Shahinyan S.	12. Cetkovic D. (G) 9. Djordjevic B. 6. Kascelan V. 31. Kuc A. (G) 20. Macanovic A. 4. Malisic P. 14. Mugosa D. 25. Nikac D. 27. Tabajica M. 23. Todorovic M.
Coaches
Gevorgyan V.	Tripkovic Z.

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Alashkert is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arsenal Tivat is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Alashkert is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alashkert FC
Armenian Premier League
06.06.23	Alashkert - Pyunik	1:2 ✺
31.05.23	Van - Alashkert	0:1 ✺
27.05.23	Alashkert - Urartu Yerevan	3:2 ✺
21.05.23	Shirak Gyumri - Alashkert	0:1 ✺
16.05.23	Alashkert - BKMA Yerevan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWL
- Arsenal Tivat
Club Friendly
29.06.23	Zvijezda Brgule - Arsenal Tivat	Canceled ✺
27.06.23	Radnički 1923 - Arsenal Tivat	2:1 ✺
24.06.23	Željezničar Sarajevo - Arsenal Tivat	2:0 ✺
Montenegrin Cup
29.05.23	Arsenal Tivat - Sutjeska	1:2 penalties ✺
Montenegrin First League
25.05.23	Arsenal Tivat - Sutjeska	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 ?LLLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alashkert FC
Armenian Premier League
31.10.26	Ararat - Alashkert	✺
Armenian Cup
28.10.26	Alashkert - BKMA Yerevan	✺
- Arsenal Tivat
Montenegrin First League
28.10.26	Arsenal Tivat - Bokelj	✺

Alashkert - Arsenal Tivat