Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 24 June 2023, Saturday


	Željezničar Sarajevo		Arsenal Tivat

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.65	6.3
	1.4	4.75	6.08
	1.57	3.8	4.8
	1.37	4.33	7.25	Watch
	1.66	3.95	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (2.12)	4.3 ↑ (3.6)	5.79 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Željezničar Sarajevo
62.6%

Draw
21.4%

Arsenal Tivat
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

25.2%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

24.4%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Željezničar Sarajevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Željezničar Sarajevo's performance.

Arsenal Tivat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arsenal Tivat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Željezničar Sarajevo than the current prediction. (-18.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Željezničar Sarajevo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tivat than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arsenal Tivat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	11.8%	0%

Željezničar Sarajevo - Arsenal Tivat Predictions

Users Predictions: Željezničar Sarajevo will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Neutral location.

Željezničar is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arsenal Tivat is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Željezničar will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Željezničar Sarajevo
Bosnian Premier League
28.05.23	Sloboda Tuzla - Željezničar Sarajevo	1:2 ✺
21.05.23	Željezničar Sarajevo - Posušje	3:0 ✺
12.05.23	Sarajevo - Željezničar Sarajevo	2:2 ✺
07.05.23	Željezničar Sarajevo - Velež Mostar	2:1 ✺
02.05.23	Željezničar Sarajevo - Igman Konjic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWTWT
- Arsenal Tivat
Montenegrin Cup
29.05.23	Arsenal Tivat - Sutjeska	1:2 penalties ✺
Montenegrin First League
25.05.23	Arsenal Tivat - Sutjeska	0:1 ✺
21.05.23	Rudar Pljevlja - Arsenal Tivat	1:2 ✺
14.05.23	Arsenal Tivat - Dečić Tuzi	0:0 ✺
07.05.23	Budućnost Podgorica - Arsenal Tivat	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWTL

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