Match Info

Date: 12 August 2021, Thursday


	Alashkert		Kairat

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2.2	Watch
	3.25	2.95	2.2
	3.55	2.9	2.3	Watch
	3.5	2.9	2.24
	3.61	2.97	2.32
	3.4	2.88	2.15	Watch
	3.54	2.9	2.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↓ (3.65)	2.94 ↓ (3.1)	2.25 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alashkert
26.9%

Draw
31.7%

Kairat
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

29.9%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

22.8%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alashkert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Kairat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alashkert than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alashkert that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kairat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	40%	45%

Alashkert - Kairat Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Alashkert will win (votes: 6 - 15%). Kairat will win (votes: 18 - 45%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kairat: 29.6% – 60.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Kairat will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alashkert won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Alashkert won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alashkert FC
UEFA Europa League
05.08.21	Kairat - Alashkert	0:0 ✺
Armenian Premier League
01.08.21	Alashkert - Ararat-Armenia	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.07.21	Sheriff Tiraspol - Alashkert	3:1 ✺
20.07.21	Alashkert - Sheriff Tiraspol	0:1 ✺
14.07.21	Alashkert - Gap Connahs Quay	1:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLLLW
- Kairat Almaty
UEFA Europa League
05.08.21	Kairat - Alashkert	0:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
31.07.21	Turan Turkistan - Kairat	4:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.07.21	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Kairat	5:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
24.07.21	Kairat - Turan Turkistan	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.07.21	Kairat - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
05.08.21	Kairat - Alashkert	0:0
23.07.15	Alashkert - Kairat	2:1
16.07.15	Kairat - Alashkert	3:0

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