Match Info

Date: 5 August 2021, Thursday


	Kairat		Alashkert

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	8	Watch
	1.44	4	6.5
	1.42	4.1	8.5	Watch
	1.43	4.2	7
	1.42	4.34	8.49
	1.38	4	7.5	Watch
	1.41	4.55	7.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.44)	4.2 ↑ (4.08)	7.67 ↓ (7.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kairat
65.6%

Draw
22.2%

Alashkert
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

22.9%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

77.6%

19.2%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kairat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Alashkert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kairat, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alashkert than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.4%	6.8%	6.8%

Kairat - Alashkert Predictions

Users Predictions: Kairat will win (38 of 44 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.22% – 96.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Kairat could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Kairat is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kairat won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Kairat won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kairat Almaty
Kazakh Cup
31.07.21	Turan Turkistan - Kairat	4:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.07.21	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Kairat	5:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
24.07.21	Kairat - Turan Turkistan	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.07.21	Kairat - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	2:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
17.07.21	Kairat - Kaspiy Aktau	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLWL
- Alashkert FC
Armenian Premier League
01.08.21	Alashkert - Ararat-Armenia	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.07.21	Sheriff Tiraspol - Alashkert	3:1 ✺
20.07.21	Alashkert - Sheriff Tiraspol	0:1 ✺
14.07.21	Alashkert - Gap Connahs Quay	1:0 ET ✺
07.07.21	Gap Connahs Quay - Alashkert	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
23.07.15	Alashkert - Kairat	2:1
16.07.15	Kairat - Alashkert	3:0

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