Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 19

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Alavés B		Alfaro

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.7	6.5
	1.47	3.83	6.93	Watch
	1.5	3.4	7
	1.44	3.62	7.75
	1.5	3.66	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.43)	3.64 ↓ (3.9)	6.97 ↑ (6.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alavés B
61.9%

Draw
25%

Alfaro
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

23.2%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

22%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alavés B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Alfaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alavés B than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alavés B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Alavés B - Alfaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Zaldua X. 🟥,
32', 1 - 0, Aragues C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, Pinillos Wilson L. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Alavés B is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alfaro has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Alavés B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alavés B is the clear favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alavés B won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Alavés B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
10.01.26	SD Logroñés - Alavés B	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Alavés B - Zaragoza B	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Utebo - Alavés B	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Alavés B - Náxara	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Alavés B - Beasain	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWWLW
- CD Alfaro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
11.01.26	Alfaro - Eibar B	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	UD Logroñés - Alfaro	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Alfaro - Ebro	0:4 ✺
13.12.25	Mutilvera - Alfaro	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Alfaro - Real Unión de Irun	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.6 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
26.10.25	Alfaro - Alavés B	0:3
27.04.25	Alfaro - Alavés B	2:4
15.12.24	Alavés B - Alfaro	0:1
09.04.23	Alfaro - Alavés B	1:1
27.11.22	Alavés B - Alfaro	1:0

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