Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 16

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Alfaro		Ebro

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.8	2.35
	3	2.82	2.35
	3.05	2.82	2.56
	2.95	2.8	2.56	Watch
	3	2.7	2.45
	2.94	2.8	2.49
	2.9	2.83	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.58)	2.8 ↓ (2.87)	2.47 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfaro
30.6%

Draw
32.5%

Ebro
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

31.6%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

30.8%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Ebro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alfaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebro than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Alfaro - Ebro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
30', 0 - 1, Reques J. ⚽,
45+4', 0 - 2, Lobede U. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', 0 - 3, Charlez V. ⚽,
82', 0 - 4, Novials A. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Alfaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alfaro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
13.12.25	Mutilvera - Alfaro	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Alfaro - Real Unión de Irun	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Beasain - Alfaro	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Alfaro - Tudelano	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Náxara - Alfaro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TLTWL
- CD Ebro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.12.25	Ebro - Utebo	3:1 ✺
06.12.25	SD Logroñés - Ebro	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.25	Ebro - Osasuna	3:5 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
29.11.25	Ebro - Alavés B	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Zaragoza B - Ebro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLTT

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