Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 28

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Alavés B		Basconia

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.3	4.2
	1.72	3.3	4.25
	1.68	3.75	4.8
	1.67	3.7	4.56	Watch
	1.67	3.4	4.5
	1.74	3.44	4.94
	1.82	3.3	3.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.81)	3.46 ↑ (3.24)	4.46 ↑ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alavés B
53.2%

Draw
26.4%

Basconia
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

27.8%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

26.9%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alavés B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Basconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alavés B than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Alavés B - Basconia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alavés B won 3.

Alavés B is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Basconia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Basconia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alavés B is considered a favorite.

We predict that Alavés B will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Alavés B won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Alavés B won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
15.03.26	Náxara - Alavés B	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Alavés B - Utebo	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Sestao - Alavés B	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Alavés B - Ebro	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Beasain - Alavés B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWTT
- CD Basconia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.03.26	Basconia - Tudelano	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Zaragoza B - Basconia	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Náxara - Basconia	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Basconia - Amorebieta	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Eibar B - Basconia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
12.10.25	Basconia - Alavés B	0:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
09.04.22	Alavés B - Basconia	4:2
05.12.21	Basconia - Alavés B	0:0
05.05.19	Basconia - Alavés B	1:1
16.12.18	Alavés B - Basconia	2:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
15.10.17	Alavés B - Basconia	1:1

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