Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 27

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Basconia		Tudelano

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.25	3.05
	2.13	3.36	3.29
	2.1	3.34	3.21	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.2
	2.14	3.44	3.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.34)	3.3 ↑ (3.19)	3.2 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basconia
43.5%

Draw
27.8%

Tudelano
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

28.2%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

28.3%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basconia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Tudelano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Basconia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tudelano than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Basconia - Tudelano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 1 - 0, ⚽,
86', 1 - 1, Vila M. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Basconia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tudelano's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Basconia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Basconia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Tudelano	5	2	1	2	7:6	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Basconia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
08.03.26	Zaragoza B - Basconia	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Náxara - Basconia	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Basconia - Amorebieta	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Eibar B - Basconia	1:3 ✺
08.02.26	Basconia - Utebo	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TLWWW
- CD Tudelano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
08.03.26	Tudelano - Ebro	2:4 ✺
28.02.26	Beasain - Tudelano	1:5 ✺
21.02.26	Tudelano - Utebo	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Náxara - Tudelano	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Tudelano - UD Logroñés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.12.25	Tudelano - Basconia	1:2

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