Match Info

Date: 8 December 2021, Wednesday


	Alavés B		Durango

	1	X	2
	1.88	3	3.8
	1.88	2.95	3.55
	1.86	2.9	4
	1.86	2.78	4.63
	1.86	3.24	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.82)	2.97 ↓ (3.14)	4.03 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alavés B
47.8%

Draw
30%

Durango
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

28.4%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

19.4%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alavés B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Durango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alavés B than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alavés B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Durango than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Durango could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alavés B - Durango Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Alavés B is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Durango is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Durango could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alavés B is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alavés B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
05.12.21	Basconia - Alavés B	0:0 ✺
21.11.21	Portugalete - Alavés B	1:1 ✺
14.11.21	Alavés B - Aurrerá Ondarroa	1:0 ✺
07.11.21	Alavés B - Barakaldo	3:2 ✺
24.10.21	Alavés B - Santutxu	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTWWT
- SCD Durango
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
04.12.21	Durango - Beasain	1:1 ✺
28.11.21	Santutxu - Durango	1:1 ✺
20.11.21	Durango - Deusto	2:0 ✺
13.11.21	Lagun Onak - Durango	0:1 ✺
06.11.21	Durango - Vitoria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
16.12.17	Durango - Alavés B	1:2

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