The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santutxu 30.3%
Draw 32.2%
Durango 37.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.2%
32.5%
37.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.1%
22.7%
53.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santutxu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santutxu than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santutxu that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Durango than the current prediction. (+15.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Durango could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Santutxu - Durango Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).
Santutxu is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Durango is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Durango could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Santutxu won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Santutxu won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.