Match Info

Date: 28 November 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Santutxu		Durango

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.8	2.35
	2.88	2.65	2.35
	2.95	2.75	2.32
	2.94	2.75	2.45
	3.05	2.88	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.88)	2.77 ↑ (2.68)	2.38 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santutxu
30.3%

Draw
32.2%

Durango
37.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.2%

32.5%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

22.7%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santutxu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santutxu than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santutxu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Durango than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Durango could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santutxu - Durango Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Santutxu is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Durango is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Durango could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Santutxu won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Santutxu won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santutxu FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
21.11.21	Basconia - Santutxu	1:0 ✺
14.11.21	Santutxu - Beti Gazte	0:1 ✺
07.11.21	Portugalete - Santutxu	2:1 ✺
30.10.21	Santutxu - Aurrerá Ondarroa	1:0 ✺
24.10.21	Alavés B - Santutxu	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLWT
- SCD Durango
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
20.11.21	Durango - Deusto	2:0 ✺
13.11.21	Lagun Onak - Durango	0:1 ✺
06.11.21	Durango - Vitoria	0:2 ✺
30.10.21	Amurrio - Durango	0:1 ✺
23.10.21	Durango - Pasaia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
08.03.20	Santutxu - Durango	1:1
12.10.19	Durango - Santutxu	0:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
24.12.17	Santutxu - Durango	0:3

Santutxu - Durango

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Santutxu - Durango Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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