The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lagun Onak 42.6%
Draw 30.3%
Durango 27.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.1%
27.5%
22.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.9%
26.5%
21.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lagun Onak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lagun Onak's form might have worsened.
Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagun Onak than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lagun Onak, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durango than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Durango, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Lagun Onak - Durango Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Lagun Onak will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Vasquez E. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lagun Onak won 3.
Lagun Onak is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Durango's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Lagun Onak is seen as the favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lagun Onak won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.7:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Lagun Onak won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).