Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 12

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Campo Municipal de Urritxe (Amorebieta-Etxano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Amorebieta		Náxara

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5.5
	1.54	3.62	6.20	Watch
	1.57	3.44	5.83
	1.5	3.6	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.45)	3.57 ↓ (3.8)	5.98 ↓ (7.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
59.2%

Draw
25.6%

Náxara
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

24.1%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

22.7%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Náxara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amorebieta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Amorebieta - Náxara Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Amorebieta (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Castaneda J. (Pen),
67', 0 - 1, Villoslada I. ⚽,
80', 1 - 1, Torrico A. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Amorebieta is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Náxara has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Amorebieta is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
15.11.25	Amorebieta - Alavés B	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Zaragoza B - Amorebieta	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Amorebieta - Alfaro	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Utebo - Amorebieta	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Amorebieta - UD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWWLW
- Náxara CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
16.11.25	Náxara - Alfaro	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	SD Logroñés - Náxara	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Náxara - Zaragoza B	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Náxara - Eibar	2:4 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
26.10.25	Basconia - Náxara	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWLL

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