Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 29

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday


	Alavés C		Aurrerá de Vitoria

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.35	3.95
	1.81	3.33	4.1
	4.93	3.45	1.70	Watch
	1.75	3.38	4.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (1.77)	3.38 ↑ (3.37)	3.51 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alavés C
40.1%

Draw
30.5%

Aurrerá de Vitoria
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

26.9%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

28.6%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alavés C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alavés C's form might have worsened.

Aurrerá de Vitoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aurrerá de Vitoria's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alavés C than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alavés C, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurrerá de Vitoria than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aurrerá de Vitoria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alavés C - Aurrerá de Vitoria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 6)

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Alavés C is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Aurrera de Vitoria	5	4	1	0	10:4	6	13
8	Alaves C	5	2	1	2	11:6	5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
28.03.26	Leioa - Alavés C	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Alavés C - Eibar C	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Añorga - Alavés C	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Alavés C - Durango	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Aretxabaleta - Alavés C	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWLWL
- Aurrerá de Vitoria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
28.03.26	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Zarautz KE	1:3 ✺
21.03.26	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Leioa	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Eibar C - Aurrerá de Vitoria	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Añorga	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Durango - Aurrerá de Vitoria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLWWW

Alavés C - Aurrerá de Vitoria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide