Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 27

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Alavés C		Eibar C

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.5	4.5
	1.68	3.5	4.35
	1.73	3.55	4.42
	1.72	3.6	4.38
	1.7	3.5	4
	1.67	3.5	4.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.6)	3.53 ↑ (3.5)	4.38 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alavés C
53.6%

Draw
25.7%

Eibar C
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

25.5%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

24.7%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alavés C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Eibar C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alavés C than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar C than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Alavés C - Eibar C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 14).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Alavés C is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alavés C won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 3.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Alavés C won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Alaves C	5	2	1	2	11:6	5	7
13	Eibar C	5	1	2	2	8:8	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
14.03.26	Añorga - Alavés C	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Alavés C - Durango	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Aretxabaleta - Alavés C	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Alavés C - Zamudio	5:0 ✺
14.02.26	Santurtzi - Alavés C	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLWT
- SD Eibar C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
15.03.26	Eibar C - Aurrerá de Vitoria	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Leioa - Eibar C	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Eibar C - Zarautz KE	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Eibar C - Añorga	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Durango - Eibar C	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
08.11.25	Eibar C - Alavés C	2:5
01.03.25	Alavés C - Eibar C	5:1
19.10.24	Eibar C - Alavés C	3:0

Alavés C - Eibar C: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide