Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 25

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Alavés C		Durango

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.15	3.6
	1.93	3.35	3.72
	1.93	3.37	3.69
	1.95	3.1	3.6
	1.91	3.25	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (1.98)	3.24 ↑ (3.1)	3.66 ↓ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alavés C
47.2%

Draw
28%

Durango
24.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46%

29.4%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

28.4%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alavés C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alavés C than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durango than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Alavés C - Durango Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 10).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Durango may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Alavés C might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alavés C won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Alavés C won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Durango	8	3	4	1	13:10	3	13
8	Alaves C	8	3	3	2	17:10	7	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
01.03.26	Aretxabaleta - Alavés C	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Alavés C - Zamudio	5:0 ✺
14.02.26	Santurtzi - Alavés C	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Alavés C - Real Sociedad C	3:0 ✺
31.01.26	Pasaia - Alavés C	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWTWT
- SCD Durango
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
28.02.26	Durango - Aurrerá de Vitoria	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Leioa - Durango	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Durango - Eibar C	3:0 ✺
07.02.26	Añorga - Durango	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Durango - Zarautz KE	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
09.02.25	Durango - Alavés C	0:1
17.03.24	Alavés C - Durango	1:2
28.10.23	Durango - Alavés C	1:0

Alavés C - Durango