The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Albacete B 51.6%
Draw 24.7%
Atlético Madrid C 23.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.9%
26.7%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.3%
26.9%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albacete B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Albacete B's performance.
Atlético Madrid C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Madrid C might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albacete B than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Albacete B that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid C than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Madrid C could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Albacete B - Atlético Madrid C Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, Gomez F. J. P. ⚽,
83', 1 - 1, Arza D. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 1, Antonio David ⚽,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 15th in the Relegation and 3rd in the Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs).
Albacete B is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Atlético C shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Albacete B may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Albacete B is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Atl. Madrid C
8
4
2
2
11:9
2
14
13
Albacete B
8
2
3
3
11:22
-11
9
Last Results with these Odds
Albacete B - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.88%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.