Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 6

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	17:00	Footballclub


	Navalcarnero		Atlético Madrid C

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.70	3.75
	1.75	3.50	3.80
	1.68	3.65	3.95
	1.80	3.54	4.16
	1.78	3.64	3.98	Watch
	1.78	3.50	4.10
	1.82	3.83	3.89
	1.76	3.70	3.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2)	3.63 ↑ (3.35)	3.93 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navalcarnero
51.7%

Draw
25.1%

Atlético Madrid C
23.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45%

26.8%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Navalcarnero's performance.

Atlético Madrid C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Navalcarnero - Atlético Madrid C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Gross G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 9th and 2nd in the Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs).

Navalcarnero has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Navalcarnero may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Navalcarnero for this game.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Atl. Madrid C	8	4	2	2	11:9	2	14
8	Navalcarnero	8	3	3	2	13:12	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.10.26	Alcalá - Navalcarnero	1:3 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
30.09.26	Navalcarnero - Real Murcia	3:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.09.26	Navalcarnero - Conquense	1:3 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
23.09.26	Atlético Saguntino - Navalcarnero	0:4 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
20.09.26	Atlético Tordesillas - Navalcarnero	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWLWT
- Atlético Madrid C
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.10.26	Atlético Madrid C - Conquense	3:2 ✺
27.09.26	Atlético Madrid C - Real Madrid C	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Atlético Paso - Atlético Madrid C	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Atlético Madrid C - Real Ávila	2:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
10.05.26	Atlético Madrid C - Móstoles URJC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWWT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.26	Navalcarnero - Betis	✺

Navalcarnero - Atlético Madrid C