Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Albacete B		Deportivo Toledo

	1	X	2
	2.82	2.58	2.72
	2.97	2.52	2.8
	3.36	2.25	2.94	Watch
	2.8	2.63	2.63
	2.9	2.54	2.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.85)	2.5 ↓ (2.92)	2.76 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albacete B
30.6%

Draw
36.3%

Deportivo Toledo
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

30.7%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

29.9%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albacete B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Albacete B's performance.

Deportivo Toledo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Toledo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albacete B than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Albacete B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Toledo than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Toledo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Albacete B - Deportivo Toledo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Albacete B won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Albacete B won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Albacete B won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 0.8:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Toledo	5	3	1	1	12:6	6	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albacete B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
03.05.26	Albacete B - Villacañas	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Illescas - Albacete B	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Albacete B - Manchego	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Villarrobledo - Albacete B	0:0 ✺
02.04.26	Sonseca - Albacete B	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLTTW
- Deportivo Toledo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
03.05.26	Deportivo Toledo - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Deportivo Toledo - Villacañas	4:0 ✺
11.04.26	Illescas - Deportivo Toledo	1:1 ✺
02.04.26	Deportivo Toledo - Manchego	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Villarrobledo - Deportivo Toledo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
22.03.26	Deportivo Toledo - Albacete B	0:0
09.11.25	Albacete B - Deportivo Toledo	0:0
19.01.25	Albacete B - Deportivo Toledo	1:0
03.03.24	Deportivo Toledo - Albacete B	1:1
15.10.23	Albacete B - Deportivo Toledo	1:0
02.05.21	Albacete B - Deportivo Toledo	0:1
11.04.21	Deportivo Toledo - Albacete B	2:1

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